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RADL3:BMFBOVESPARaia Drogasil S.A. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time

R$23.52

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Raia Drogasil trades at R$23.52, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of 25.23 and 50‑day SMA of 24.92, indicating a short‑term bullish bias despite a bearish MACD histogram. The RSI sits at 36, hinting at modest downside momentum and potential oversold conditions near the identified support of R$23.05. Volume is on an increasing trend, supporting the price’s resilience above support while the 30‑day volatility of roughly 33% underscores notable price swings. Relative to peers, the stock’s trailing PE of 30.15 exceeds the industry average of 25.11, and the DCF‑derived fair value of R$5.08 suggests a substantial valuation gap. Revenue growth remains robust at 20% year‑over‑year, yet operating margins are thin (6.2%) and debt‑to‑equity is high at 120%, adding balance‑sheet pressure. The dividend yield of 1.61% with a payout ratio under 50% appears sustainable given positive free cash flow. Overall, the stock presents a mixed picture: strong top‑line momentum and dividend coverage counterbalanced by elevated valuation, leverage, and market volatility.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price hovering just above support with bearish MACD
  • Elevated short‑term volatility
  • Increasing volume suggests potential upside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth and sustainable dividend
  • Bullish trend confirmed by moving averages
  • Upside potential to resistance around R$27.42

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • High valuation relative to fundamentals
  • Leverage and modest operating margins
  • Sector stability but regulatory headwinds in Brazil

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth19.90%
Profit Margin2.93%
P/E Ratio30.2
ROE18.87%
ROA7.06%
Debt/Equity120.42
P/B Ratio5.6
Op. Cash FlowR$2.4B
Free Cash FlowR$551.1M
Industry P/E25.1

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI36.1
SupportR$23.05
ResistanceR$27.42
MA 20R$25.23
MA 50R$24.92
MA 200R$19.55
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index76.77

Valuation

Fair ValueR$5.08
Target PriceR$27.75
Upside/Downside18.00%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield1.61%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.65
Volatility32.85%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.