RADL3:BMFBOVESPARaia Drogasil S.A. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time
R$23.52
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Raia Drogasil trades at R$23.52, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of 25.23 and 50‑day SMA of 24.92, indicating a short‑term bullish bias despite a bearish MACD histogram. The RSI sits at 36, hinting at modest downside momentum and potential oversold conditions near the identified support of R$23.05. Volume is on an increasing trend, supporting the price’s resilience above support while the 30‑day volatility of roughly 33% underscores notable price swings. Relative to peers, the stock’s trailing PE of 30.15 exceeds the industry average of 25.11, and the DCF‑derived fair value of R$5.08 suggests a substantial valuation gap. Revenue growth remains robust at 20% year‑over‑year, yet operating margins are thin (6.2%) and debt‑to‑equity is high at 120%, adding balance‑sheet pressure. The dividend yield of 1.61% with a payout ratio under 50% appears sustainable given positive free cash flow. Overall, the stock presents a mixed picture: strong top‑line momentum and dividend coverage counterbalanced by elevated valuation, leverage, and market volatility.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price hovering just above support with bearish MACD
- Elevated short‑term volatility
- Increasing volume suggests potential upside
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strong revenue growth and sustainable dividend
- Bullish trend confirmed by moving averages
- Upside potential to resistance around R$27.42
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- High valuation relative to fundamentals
- Leverage and modest operating margins
- Sector stability but regulatory headwinds in Brazil
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth19.90%
Profit Margin2.93%
P/E Ratio30.2
ROE18.87%
ROA7.06%
Debt/Equity120.42
P/B Ratio5.6
Op. Cash FlowR$2.4B
Free Cash FlowR$551.1M
Industry P/E25.1
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI36.1
SupportR$23.05
ResistanceR$27.42
MA 20R$25.23
MA 50R$24.92
MA 200R$19.55
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index76.77
Valuation
Fair ValueR$5.08
Target PriceR$27.75
Upside/Downside18.00%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield1.61%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.65
Volatility32.85%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.