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RAA:XETRRational Aktiengesellschaft Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-12 - not real-time

$28.33

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The ETF is trading at $28.33, just above the identified support level of $27.94 and slightly below the 20‑day SMA of $28.51, indicating a modest upside cushion. Momentum signals are mixed: the 30‑day volatility of 12.5% and a low beta of 0.63 suggest a relatively stable price path, while the MACD histogram is negative and the volume trend is decreasing, hinting at short‑term weakness. The RSI of 47 is neutral, and the current price sits marginally above the 50‑day SMA ($28.29), supporting the overall bullish trend label. Valuation metrics show a trailing P/E of 25.4, which is on the higher side for an income‑focused vehicle, but the 2.04% dividend yield provides a modest income buffer. The fund’s dynamic allocation across stocks, bonds, and alternatives aims to capture growth while dampening risk, aligning with a blend‑style investment profile.
Given the ETF’s non‑diversified yet multi‑asset approach, regulatory and sector exposures are limited, and the low currency risk (USD‑denominated) further stabilizes returns. Liquidity is a concern, as current trading volume (≈14.5k) trails the 10‑day average of 42.6k, suggesting potential execution challenges in rapid moves. Overall, the fund appears fairly valued with sustainable dividend potential, offering a balanced risk‑return proposition for investors seeking diversified exposure without high volatility.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price hovering just above support
  • Decreasing volume and bearish MACD histogram
  • Neutral RSI indicating no strong momentum

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Dynamic multi‑asset allocation provides upside potential
  • Sustainable 2.04% dividend yield
  • Low beta and moderate volatility support risk‑adjusted returns

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Diversified exposure across asset classes reduces concentration risk
  • Historical max drawdown of ~10% is manageable
  • Regulatory environment for ETFs remains stable

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

P/E Ratio25.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI47.3
Support$27.94
Resistance$29.10
MA 20$28.51
MA 50$28.29
MA 200$27.04
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index78.16

Valuation

GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.04%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.63
Volatility12.49%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.