QUINENCO:BCSQuinenco S.A. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-23 - not real-time
CLP 3,973.40
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Quiñenco is trading well beneath its short‑term, intermediate‑term and long‑term simple moving averages, signaling a bearish technical backdrop. RSI sits in the lower‑mid range, hinting at a near‑oversold condition, while the MACD line remains below its signal line, reinforcing bearish momentum. The stock is perched just above a clear support zone, offering a modest cushion against further declines, but faces a sizable resistance barrier ahead.
Fundamentally, the company boasts a price‑to‑earnings multiple that is dramatically lower than the sector average, and a discounted cash‑flow model points to a substantial upside potential. Strong revenue growth, solid cash generation, and a dividend yield that outpaces many peers suggest a resilient earnings base. However, the conglomerate carries a high debt‑to‑equity profile, and the energy‑focused segment is exposed to regulatory and commodity‑price fluctuations. Overall, the blend of deep valuation discount, attractive dividend, and low market beta creates a compelling case for investors with a longer horizon, while short‑term traders should respect the prevailing bearish technical signals.
Fundamentally, the company boasts a price‑to‑earnings multiple that is dramatically lower than the sector average, and a discounted cash‑flow model points to a substantial upside potential. Strong revenue growth, solid cash generation, and a dividend yield that outpaces many peers suggest a resilient earnings base. However, the conglomerate carries a high debt‑to‑equity profile, and the energy‑focused segment is exposed to regulatory and commodity‑price fluctuations. Overall, the blend of deep valuation discount, attractive dividend, and low market beta creates a compelling case for investors with a longer horizon, while short‑term traders should respect the prevailing bearish technical signals.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish technical indicators (price below SMAs, MACD bearish)
- Proximity to support level limiting immediate downside
- Attractive dividend yield providing income while waiting for rebound
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Significant valuation gap versus peers and DCF upside
- Robust revenue growth and strong cash flow generation
- Sustainable dividend with moderate payout ratio
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term undervaluation and low beta indicating defensive profile
- Consistent dividend payments supporting total return
- Potential for operational improvements and debt reduction over time
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth25.60%
Profit Margin8.58%
P/E Ratio9.7
ROE10.03%
ROA1.54%
Debt/Equity102.69
P/B Ratio0.7
Op. Cash FlowCLP2563.6B
Free Cash FlowCLP1822.0B
Industry P/E21.6
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI38.6
SupportCLP 3,812.20
ResistanceCLP 4,512.50
MA 20CLP 4,171.73
MA 50CLP 4,291.27
MA 200CLP 4,307.75
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61
Valuation
Fair ValueCLP 30,557.37
Target PriceCLP 5,400.00
Upside/Downside35.90%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield3.09%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.25
Volatility35.38%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.