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QQXT:NASDAQFirst Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology Sector Index Fund Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-27 - not real-time

$99.35

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The fund is trading at $99.35, just below its 30‑day resistance of $100.81 and above the identified support at $95.94, suggesting limited upside in the immediate term. Technical indicators are mixed: the 20‑day SMA (98.78) sits beneath the 50‑day SMA (99.85), the RSI is neutral at 50.3, while the MACD histogram remains positive (0.19) and the signal line is bullish, indicating modest momentum. Volume has been trending downwards and the 30‑day volatility is moderate at 13.3%, which together point to a quiet market environment for the ETF. Risk metrics are favorable: beta is low at 0.67, tracking error is zero, and the expense ratio is modest at 0.60%. The fund’s dividend yield of 1.23% adds a modest income cushion, and its three‑year return of 7.5% outperforms its five‑year return of 4.3%, showing a solid medium‑term track record. However, the year‑to‑date performance is slightly negative (‑1.49%) and the market sentiment index reads “Extreme Greed” (88.02), hinting that broader equity optimism may not fully translate to this non‑technology exposure. Overall, the ETF presents a low‑tracking‑error, low‑beta profile with decent income and modest upside potential, but limited short‑term catalysts.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price near resistance with limited upside
  • Decreasing volume and neutral technicals
  • Negative YTD return despite market greed

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Low beta (0.67) and moderate volatility
  • Solid 3‑year return of 7.5% and low expense ratio
  • Diversification away from overvalued technology sector

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Stable dividend yield of 1.23%
  • Zero tracking error and consistent expense ratio
  • Modest long‑term return (5‑year 4.3%) with low currency risk

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.60%
AUM$180.7M
Inception Date2007-02-08
Avg Daily Volume3,710
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield1.23%

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI50.3
Support$95.94
Resistance$100.81
MA 20$98.78
MA 50$99.85
MA 200$99.31
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.02

Risk Assessment

Beta0.67
Volatility13.33%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.