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QQWZ:NASDAQPacer Cash COWZ 100-Nasdaq 100 Rotator ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-27 - not real-time

$26.36

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The ETF is trading just below its 20‑day SMA of 26.28 and beneath the 50‑day SMA of 26.51 while staying above the 200‑day SMA of 25.24, hinting at a modest upward bias. RSI sits at 50.3, indicating neutral momentum, and the MACD histogram is positive with a bullish signal line, supporting a gentle upside. Price is anchored above the identified support level of 25.74 and near the resistance at 26.77, creating a tight trading range. However, the volume trend is decreasing, which may curb short‑term price moves.
The fund’s beta of 0.91 suggests slightly lower volatility than the Nasdaq 100, and 30‑day volatility of about 9.6% is modest for an equity‑linked product. Since its May 2025 inception, assets have grown to roughly $30 million with a YTD return of 4.3%, outperforming a flat broader market. The expense ratio of 0.49% is average for a smart‑beta style ETF, and a tracking error of zero confirms precise index replication. The Fear & Greed Index at 88 (“Extreme Greed”) reflects strong investor appetite, yet a max drawdown of ‑7.8% warns of downside risk if sentiment shifts. Overall, the ETF offers a balanced risk‑return profile for investors seeking cash‑cow exposure within the Nasdaq 100.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD signal despite neutral RSI
  • Price holding above support at 25.74
  • Decreasing volume limiting upside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Reasonable expense ratio (0.49%) with zero tracking error
  • Beta below 1 offering lower volatility than the Nasdaq 100
  • Strong investor sentiment (Fear & Greed Index 88) supporting demand

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Limited track record since 2025 and modest asset base
  • Potential sector concentration risk within Nasdaq 100 cash‑cow stocks
  • Managed downside risk with max drawdown around 7.8%

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.49%
AUM$30.3M
Inception Date2025-05-06
Avg Daily Volume10,050
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI50.3
Support$25.74
Resistance$26.77
MA 20$26.28
MA 50$26.51
MA 200$25.24
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.02

Risk Assessment

Beta0.91
Volatility9.56%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.