QQWZ:NASDAQPacer Cash COWZ 100-Nasdaq 100 Rotator ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-23 - not real-time
$28.19
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
QQWZ has delivered a robust 16.81% YTD return, outpacing many peers in a market dominated by growth sentiment. The ETF currently trades at $28.19, sitting just above the identified support of $27.615 and below the near‑term resistance of $29.455. Its 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs sit at $28.53 and $28.74 respectively, indicating the price is modestly below short‑term averages but still above the 200‑day SMA of $26.67, suggesting a lingering upward bias. The 14‑day RSI of 46 points to a neutral momentum environment, while the MACD histogram remains in bearish territory, hinting at short‑term downside pressure. Volume has been trending upward, reinforcing the price action with greater participation.
Volatility over the past 30 days is elevated at roughly 25.6%, and a beta of 1.04 signals sensitivity to broader market swings. The fund’s modest asset base of $38.9 million and average daily volume around 16 k shares raise liquidity considerations, though the increasing volume mitigates immediate concerns. With a low expense ratio of 0.49% and essentially zero tracking error, the ETF efficiently mirrors its Nasdaq‑100 cash‑rotator strategy. The prevailing “Extreme Greed” sentiment (Fear & Greed Index = 88) aligns with the strong YTD performance but may also foreshadow heightened market risk. Given these dynamics, the ETF appears positioned for continued upside if the broader market sustains momentum, yet investors should monitor the bearish MACD signal and volatility spikes.
Volatility over the past 30 days is elevated at roughly 25.6%, and a beta of 1.04 signals sensitivity to broader market swings. The fund’s modest asset base of $38.9 million and average daily volume around 16 k shares raise liquidity considerations, though the increasing volume mitigates immediate concerns. With a low expense ratio of 0.49% and essentially zero tracking error, the ETF efficiently mirrors its Nasdaq‑100 cash‑rotator strategy. The prevailing “Extreme Greed” sentiment (Fear & Greed Index = 88) aligns with the strong YTD performance but may also foreshadow heightened market risk. Given these dynamics, the ETF appears positioned for continued upside if the broader market sustains momentum, yet investors should monitor the bearish MACD signal and volatility spikes.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- YTD return of +16.8% indicating strong recent performance
- Price hovering just above key support level $27.615
- Increasing trading volume supports liquidity
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD suggests potential short‑term pullback
- Elevated 30‑day volatility (~25.6%) may cause price swings
- Fund’s low expense ratio and zero tracking error provide cost efficiency
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Exposure to Nasdaq‑100 offers growth upside over longer horizon
- Beta slightly above 1 aligns with market upside potential
- Low expense ratio and zero tracking error enhance long‑term return potential
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.49%
AUM$39.0M
Inception Date2025-05-06
Avg Daily Volume15,620
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield0.55%
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI46.4
Support$27.61
Resistance$29.45
MA 20$28.53
MA 50$28.74
MA 200$26.67
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index88
Risk Assessment
Beta1.04
Volatility25.62%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.