QQUP:NASDAQProShares Ultra QQQ Mega Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-27 - not real-time
$59.46
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
QQUP is trading at its 52‑week high of $59.46, hugging the identified resistance level of $59.46. The 20‑day SMA of 50.76 sits well below the current price, indicating recent upward momentum. However, the RSI of 70.3 places the ETF in overbought territory, warning of a potential short‑term pullback. The MACD remains bullish, with the line at 2.998 above its signal at 1.956, suggesting lingering strength. Volatility is extreme, with a 30‑day rate of 52.6%, and the fund’s beta of 2.78 amplifies market swings. The fund has already suffered a -37.9% max drawdown since inception and posted a -23.3% YTD return.
Expense pressure is high at 0.95%, eroding returns in a leveraged vehicle. Volume is trending upward, yet average daily volumes remain modest, raising moderate liquidity concerns. The underlying QQQ exposure is heavily weighted toward technology, creating a high sector concentration risk. The Fear & Greed Index at 88.02 signals “Extreme Greed,” which often precedes market corrections. Given these dynamics, the ETF appears poised for a near‑term consolidation around resistance before a possible correction. Investors should treat QQUP as a short‑term tactical play rather than a long‑term holding.
Expense pressure is high at 0.95%, eroding returns in a leveraged vehicle. Volume is trending upward, yet average daily volumes remain modest, raising moderate liquidity concerns. The underlying QQQ exposure is heavily weighted toward technology, creating a high sector concentration risk. The Fear & Greed Index at 88.02 signals “Extreme Greed,” which often precedes market corrections. Given these dynamics, the ETF appears poised for a near‑term consolidation around resistance before a possible correction. Investors should treat QQUP as a short‑term tactical play rather than a long‑term holding.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- RSI indicates overbought conditions
- Price is at resistance level
- Increasing volume suggests possible reversal
Medium Term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- High beta and volatility amplify risk
- Elevated expense ratio erodes returns
- Negative YTD performance
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Leveraged structure unsuitable for long horizons
- Concentrated tech exposure
- Potential for large drawdowns
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.95%
AUM$24.6M
Inception Date2025-06-10
Avg Daily Volume9,820
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI70.3
Support$40.09
Resistance$59.46
MA 20$50.76
MA 50$49.45
MA 200$53.78
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.02
Risk Assessment
Beta2.78
Volatility52.63%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.