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QQQY:NASDAQDefiance Nasdaq 100 Weekly Distribution ETF analysis

Data as of Oct 21, 2026 - not real-time

Latest price
$21.57
Risk: medium
6/10Medium risk

Summary

Defiance Nasdaq 100 Target 30 Weekly Distribution ETF trades at $21.57, with its short-term moving averages sitting below the longer-term ones — a bearish trend structure. It has lost 3.4% over the past 30 days. Relative strength is 34.2 — approaching oversold — and the MACD signal is bearish. Recent trading has carved out support near $21.24 and resistance around $23.03.
The 1.01% expense ratio is expensive for its category, and the fund manages $189.4M in assets.
The composite risk read is 6/10, putting it in elevated territory. With 30-day volatility of 16.2%, a beta of 1.30 and a maximum drawdown of 21.6%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 91 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on sell — conviction 4 out of 10.

Top market events

  • Seeking Alpha20dQQQY: A Strong Play For Weekly IncomeDefiance Nasdaq 100 Weekly Distribution ETF offers a high-yield,...

Market outlook

Short term

< 1 year

Cautious

Model confidence7/107 out of 10

Key factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 22.77
  • MACD momentum is negative

Medium term

1–3 years

Cautious

Model confidence5/105 out of 10

Key factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 22.77
  • MACD momentum is negative

Long term

> 3 years

Cautious

Model confidence4/104 out of 10

Key factors

  • High expense ratio of 1.01%
  • Maximum drawdown of 21.6%
  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones

Key metrics

Fund metrics

Expense Ratio1.01%
AUM$189.4M
Inception Date2023-09-13
Avg Daily Volume110,550
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield25.93%

Technical analysis

TrendBearish
RSI34.2
Support$21.24
Resistance$23.03
MA 20$22.41
MA 50$22.43
MA 200$22.77
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.52

Risk assessment

Beta1.30
Volatility16.23%
Sector RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.