QQQA:NASDAQProShares Nasdaq-100 Dorsey Wright Momentum ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-09 - not real-time
$78.25
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The ETF is trading at $78.25, comfortably above its 20‑day ($74.96), 50‑day ($66.36) and 200‑day ($53.94) simple moving averages, underscoring a strong bullish momentum. RSI at 60.5 signals that the fund remains in the upper half of its range without being overbought, while the MACD histogram has turned slightly negative, hinting at a modest short‑term pullback despite the overall bullish trend. Volume is on an "increasing" trajectory, supporting the price advance, and the fund’s YTD return of roughly 54% reflects the underlying Nasdaq‑100 momentum bias. However, a beta of 1.77 indicates heightened sensitivity to market swings, and the concentration in large‑cap growth tech stocks adds sector‑specific risk. The expense ratio of 0.58% is modest for an active‑style ETF, and with zero tracking error and no premium/discount, the fund tracks its index closely. The Fear & Greed Index at 88.9 (Extreme Greed) suggests market participants are very optimistic, which could amplify short‑term volatility around the $82.86 resistance level.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price above all major SMAs indicating continued bullish bias
- Slightly bearish MACD histogram suggesting a near‑term pullback
- Increasing volume supporting current price level
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Robust YTD performance (~54%) driven by Nasdaq‑100 momentum
- Strong bullish trend direction and RSI in comfortable range
- High beta offering amplified upside in a rising tech market
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Elevated sector concentration risk in large‑cap growth tech
- Potential rotation away from pure momentum strategies over time
- Low tracking error and reasonable expense ratio providing stability
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.58%
AUM$45.4M
Inception Date2021-05-18
Avg Daily Volume50,060
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield0.07%
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI60.5
Support$67.00
Resistance$82.86
MA 20$74.96
MA 50$66.36
MA 200$53.94
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.93
Risk Assessment
Beta1.77
Volatility43.73%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.