QQQA:NASDAQProShares Nasdaq-100 Dorsey Wright Momentum ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-23 - not real-time
$87.48
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The ETF is trading at $87.48, comfortably above the 20‑day SMA of 79.88 and the 50‑day SMA of 71.68, while the 200‑day SMA sits near 55.64, underscoring a strong uptrend. Momentum indicators are bullish: the MACD line sits at 4.05 above its signal at 3.61 and the RSI is at 67.1, indicating robust strength without yet being overbought. Support is anchored around 72.75 and resistance near the 52‑week high of 88.24, giving the fund room to rally. Volatility is elevated at 48.7% over the past 30 days and beta is high at 1.86, suggesting price swings will be pronounced. The fund’s YTD return of 53.98% and an “Extreme Greed” sentiment (fear‑greed index 86.09) reflect strong investor enthusiasm. However, a max drawdown of -14.5% and a sector‑heavy Nasdaq‑100 exposure raise caution for longer horizons.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD crossover and rising histogram
- Price firmly above all moving averages
- Increasing volume supporting momentum
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strong YTD performance but high beta may cause volatility
- Elevated 30‑day volatility and sector concentration
- Expense ratio of 0.58% modest for a specialized strategy
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Sustained sector‑specific risk in tech‑heavy Nasdaq‑100
- Potential for larger drawdowns given high beta
- Moderate expense ratio and zero tracking error
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.58%
AUM$45.4M
Inception Date2021-05-18
Avg Daily Volume75,870
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield0.07%
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI67.1
Support$72.75
Resistance$88.24
MA 20$79.88
MA 50$71.68
MA 200$55.64
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index86.09
Risk Assessment
Beta1.86
Volatility48.75%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.