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QQEW:NASDAQFirst Trust Nasdaq-100 Select Equal Weight ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-17 - not real-time

$155.67

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The ETF is trading at $155.67, comfortably above its 20‑day ($153.45), 50‑day ($144.12) and 200‑day ($139.98) simple moving averages, indicating a bullish price trend. RSI at 58 suggests momentum is still on the upside, while the MACD histogram is negative and the MACD line sits below its signal, hinting at emerging bearish pressure. The fund holds strong technical support around $144.11 and faces resistance near $162.19, with current price positioned midway in that range. Volatility is elevated at ~25.6% over the past 30 days and beta of 1.20 signals higher sensitivity to market moves, yet the fund’s YTD return of 9.93% and 3‑year annualized return of roughly 14% demonstrate resilient performance. Market sentiment is extremely bullish, reflected by a Fear‑Greed Index of 92.13 (Extreme Greed), and the equal‑weight approach provides diversified exposure to large‑cap growth stocks, reducing reliance on the Nasdaq‑100’s largest constituents.
Liquidity is modest, with average daily volumes around 35‑54k shares, and the expense ratio of 0.55% is higher than ultra‑low‑cost peers but acceptable given the niche strategy. Tracking error is effectively zero and the fund trades at net asset value, eliminating pricing risk. Overall, the ETF combines solid growth fundamentals with higher‑than‑average market risk, making it suitable for investors comfortable with volatility and seeking long‑term exposure to the Nasdaq‑100’s broader growth universe.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price approaching resistance at $162.19
  • bearish MACD divergence
  • decreasing volume trend

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • solid YTD return of 9.9%
  • equal‑weight exposure reduces single‑stock concentration
  • beta of 1.2 offers upside in a bullish market

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • historical 3‑year annualized return ~14%
  • zero tracking error and no premium/discount
  • growth‑focused Nasdaq‑100 alignment with secular trends

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.55%
AUM$1.8B
Inception Date2006-04-19
Avg Daily Volume35,340
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield0.29%

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI58.3
Support$144.11
Resistance$162.19
MA 20$153.45
MA 50$144.12
MA 200$139.98
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.13

Risk Assessment

Beta1.20
Volatility25.58%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.