QQDN:NASDAQProShares UltraShort QQQ Mega Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-23 - not real-time
$24.60
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
QQDN is under significant pressure. The fund sits near its technical resistance at $24.72, with a 30‑day volatility of 44.9% and a max drawdown of -49.6%. Momentum indicators are mixed: RSI is at 62 (overbought) while MACD shows a bullish histogram, suggesting short‑term price upside that could further erode the inverse position. The ETF’s beta of -2.81 amplifies Nasdaq moves, and with a YTD return of -20.6% and a high expense ratio of 0.95%, the cost of holding is steep.
Liquidity and concentration risks are pronounced. Average daily volume is roughly one‑tenth of the 10‑day average, and total assets are only about $1 M, flagging a high liquidity risk. As an inverse‑leveraged product tied to the tech‑heavy Nasdaq‑100, sector concentration is high, and the current "Extreme Greed" market sentiment (Fear‑Greed Index 86.6) further biases the underlying index upward, working against QQDN.
Liquidity and concentration risks are pronounced. Average daily volume is roughly one‑tenth of the 10‑day average, and total assets are only about $1 M, flagging a high liquidity risk. As an inverse‑leveraged product tied to the tech‑heavy Nasdaq‑100, sector concentration is high, and the current "Extreme Greed" market sentiment (Fear‑Greed Index 86.6) further biases the underlying index upward, working against QQDN.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price approaching resistance with limited upside
- High beta and leverage amplify downside if Nasdaq rallies
- Extreme greed market sentiment favors the underlying index
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Potential for market correction could benefit inverse exposure
- Liquidity constraints may hinder rapid repositioning
- Expense ratio and decay risk remain significant
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Leveraged inverse ETFs are unsuitable for long‑term holding due to decay
- Sustained high volatility and drawdown risk
- Concentration in a single sector limits diversification
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.95%
AUM$1.0M
Inception Date2025-06-10
Avg Daily Volume5,930
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI62.4
Support$19.80
Resistance$24.72
MA 20$22.15
MA 50$22.41
MA 200$26.16
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index86.63
Risk Assessment
Beta-2.81
Volatility44.86%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.