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QNNS:QSEQatar Navigation QSC Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-21 - not real-time

QAR 10.12

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Qatar Navigation trades at a **price-to-earnings of 9.6**, far below the industry average of 29.5, and the DCF model suggests a fair value of roughly QAR 24.4, implying a **potential upside of over 20%**. The company posted a solid 15% revenue increase in Q1 2026 and maintains a healthy cash balance that comfortably exceeds its debt, supporting a **dividend yield of 4.46%** with a payout ratio under 45%.
Technical gauges, however, are less encouraging: the stock sits below its 20‑, 50‑ and 200‑day moving averages, the RSI is at 38, and the MACD histogram is negative, indicating short‑term bearish momentum and a price hovering near a key support level of QAR 10.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish technical indicators (price below SMAs, negative MACD)
  • Proximity to support level at QAR 10
  • Attractive dividend yield providing downside cushion

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Significant valuation gap vs DCF and peers
  • 15% revenue growth and solid operating margins
  • Strong cash position and sustainable dividend

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term upside potential of ~20% based on fair‑value estimate
  • Continued dividend income and low payout ratio
  • Strategic positioning in maritime logistics across multiple regions

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth15.20%
Profit Margin34.66%
P/E Ratio9.6
ROE6.78%
ROA1.91%
Debt/Equity3.88
P/B Ratio0.6
Op. Cash FlowQAR1.1B
Free Cash FlowQAR1.1B
Industry P/E29.5

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI38.3
SupportQAR 10.00
ResistanceQAR 10.69
MA 20QAR 10.30
MA 50QAR 10.43
MA 200QAR 10.97
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.82

Valuation

Fair ValueQAR 24.42
Target PriceQAR 12.20
Upside/Downside20.55%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.46%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.24
Volatility12.67%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.