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QNBK:QSEQatar National Bank QPSC Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-13 - not real-time

QAR 16.85

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The moving-average structure behind Qatar National Bank (Q.P.S.C.) is bearish at QAR 16.85, with short-term averages lagging the long-term ones. The last 30 days have lost 3.7%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 44.5 (neutral) with MACD reading bullish. The recent range runs from support at QAR 16.46 up to resistance at QAR 17.43.
Multiples put this in undervalued territory: 9.5 times earnings against the sector's 17.0. The average analyst target implies 25.1% above today's level. Revenue is growing at 21.1% on a 46.1% profit margin. The 4.27% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 4 out of 10, which is moderate for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 18.8%, a beta of 0.19 and a maximum drawdown of 19.1%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 96 on the fear-greed composite.
Near-term and long-term part ways here — hold short-term against buy longer out, with 6/10 conviction on the long call.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 1/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 18.20
  • MACD momentum is positive

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • P/E of 9.5 versus sector average of 17.0
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 18.20

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 9.5 versus sector average of 17.0
  • Analyst targets imply +25.1% versus the current price
  • Profit margin of 46.1% is healthy

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth21.10%
Profit Margin46.11%
P/E Ratio9.5
ROE14.15%
ROA1.26%
P/B Ratio1.4
Op. Cash FlowQAR-82453364736
Industry P/E17.0

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI44.5
SupportQAR 16.46
ResistanceQAR 17.43
MA 20QAR 16.89
MA 50QAR 17.29
MA 200QAR 18.20
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index95.7

Valuation

Target PriceQAR 21.08
Upside/Downside25.07%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.27%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.19
Volatility18.82%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.