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QGRD:NASDAQHorizon Nasdaq-100 Defined Risk ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-16 - not real-time

$30.61

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

QGRD is trading at $30.61, comfortably above its 20‑day ($29.91), 50‑day ($28.61) and 200‑day ($27.20) simple moving averages, and the RSI of 62.7 signals continued bullish momentum. However, the MACD histogram is negative and the MACD signal is flagged as bearish, while volume is on a decreasing trend, suggesting caution as the price approaches the 52‑week resistance level of $30.72.
YTD performance is strong at +14.0% despite a modest asset base of roughly $88.5 million and a relatively high expense ratio of 0.85%. Tracking error is essentially zero, and the defined‑risk structure has limited the max drawdown to about -10.8%, but low average daily volume and a small market cap create medium liquidity risk, and the ETF’s concentration in the NASDAQ‑100 leads to high sector concentration risk.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near 52‑week resistance with bearish MACD signal
  • Decreasing volume indicating waning short‑term momentum
  • High expense ratio may erode near‑term returns

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong YTD return and bullish SMA alignment
  • Zero tracking error and defined‑risk structure limiting downside
  • Current market sentiment shows extreme greed, supporting upside

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Limited track record since 2025 launch
  • High sector concentration in technology‑heavy NASDAQ‑100
  • Relatively high expense ratio and medium liquidity risk

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.85%
AUM$88.5M
Inception Date2025-07-09
Avg Daily Volume6,800
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI62.7
Support$28.77
Resistance$30.72
MA 20$29.91
MA 50$28.61
MA 200$27.20
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.5

Risk Assessment

Beta1.00
Volatility20.19%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.