QGRD:NASDAQHorizon Nasdaq-100 Defined Risk ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-16 - not real-time
$30.61
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
QGRD is trading at $30.61, comfortably above its 20‑day ($29.91), 50‑day ($28.61) and 200‑day ($27.20) simple moving averages, and the RSI of 62.7 signals continued bullish momentum. However, the MACD histogram is negative and the MACD signal is flagged as bearish, while volume is on a decreasing trend, suggesting caution as the price approaches the 52‑week resistance level of $30.72.
YTD performance is strong at +14.0% despite a modest asset base of roughly $88.5 million and a relatively high expense ratio of 0.85%. Tracking error is essentially zero, and the defined‑risk structure has limited the max drawdown to about -10.8%, but low average daily volume and a small market cap create medium liquidity risk, and the ETF’s concentration in the NASDAQ‑100 leads to high sector concentration risk.
YTD performance is strong at +14.0% despite a modest asset base of roughly $88.5 million and a relatively high expense ratio of 0.85%. Tracking error is essentially zero, and the defined‑risk structure has limited the max drawdown to about -10.8%, but low average daily volume and a small market cap create medium liquidity risk, and the ETF’s concentration in the NASDAQ‑100 leads to high sector concentration risk.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near 52‑week resistance with bearish MACD signal
- Decreasing volume indicating waning short‑term momentum
- High expense ratio may erode near‑term returns
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strong YTD return and bullish SMA alignment
- Zero tracking error and defined‑risk structure limiting downside
- Current market sentiment shows extreme greed, supporting upside
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Limited track record since 2025 launch
- High sector concentration in technology‑heavy NASDAQ‑100
- Relatively high expense ratio and medium liquidity risk
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.85%
AUM$88.5M
Inception Date2025-07-09
Avg Daily Volume6,800
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI62.7
Support$28.77
Resistance$30.72
MA 20$29.91
MA 50$28.61
MA 200$27.20
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.5
Risk Assessment
Beta1.00
Volatility20.19%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.