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QGEN:NYSEQiagen N.V. Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-27 - not real-time

$38.41

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Qiagen N.V. (QGEN) is trading at $38.41, well above its DCF‑derived fair value of $16.11, indicating a significant overvaluation despite a modest 3.7% revenue growth and strong profitability (gross margin 66%, operating margin 27%). The stock sits below its 20‑day SMA ($40.45) and 50‑day SMA ($43.10) and is approaching the 200‑day SMA ($46.56), while technicals remain bearish – MACD is negative with a bearish signal, RSI is at 33 suggesting oversold conditions, and the trend direction is flagged as bearish. Volume is increasing, but the price is near the identified support level of $37.40, with a recent downgrade from Barclays to equal‑weight adding downward pressure. Nonetheless, the company boasts a low payout ratio (13%), a sustainable dividend yield of 0.69%, and a solid cash position, while the market’s upside potential is highlighted by a 40% upside/downside metric and an analyst consensus target near $54, reflecting strong earnings expectations.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish technical setup (MACD, SMA cross, RSI below 35)
  • Proximity to support at $37.40
  • Barclays downgrade to equal‑weight

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Strong cash flow and low dividend payout
  • Industry‑average PE lower than peers, indicating relative value
  • Increasing volume suggesting accumulating interest

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Robust margins and diversified diagnostics portfolio
  • Potential upside to analyst price targets (~$54)
  • Low beta and sustainable dividend supporting total return

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth3.70%
Profit Margin20.33%
P/E Ratio18.8
ROE11.57%
ROA5.77%
Debt/Equity48.56
P/B Ratio2.1
Op. Cash Flow$654.3M
Free Cash Flow$257.1M
Industry P/E25.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI33.3
Support$37.40
Resistance$42.33
MA 20$40.45
MA 50$43.10
MA 200$46.56
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.02

Valuation

Fair Value$16.11
Target Price$53.96
Upside/Downside40.49%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield0.69%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.37
Volatility27.76%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.