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QBE:ASXQBE Insurance Group Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-17 - not real-time

A$23.57

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

QBE is trading in a bullish technical environment, with the short‑term moving average comfortably above the longer‑term averages and a MACD histogram that remains positive. The RSI sits in the mid‑50s, suggesting momentum is still intact without being overbought. Low beta indicates limited systematic risk, yet the 30‑day volatility remains elevated, reflecting the inherent swings of the insurance sector. Fundamentals show a price‑to‑earnings multiple well below the industry average, a solid operating margin and healthy cash generation, but the company carries no dividend and a modest book‑to‑price ratio. Recent headlines highlight rising insurance premiums that are boosting earnings, while analysts caution about margin pressure that could temper sentiment.
Overall, the gap between the current market price and the DCF‑derived fair value suggests the stock is priced on the cheaper side of its intrinsic estimate. The combination of attractive valuation, resilient cash flow and a supportive technical backdrop makes QBE a compelling candidate for investors seeking value exposure, provided they monitor the emerging margin risk and sector volatility.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish technical indicators (SMA crossover, MACD)
  • Margin pressure flagged by analysts
  • Stable trading volume reducing liquidity concerns

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Valuation gap versus DCF fair value
  • Strong operating cash flow and profit margins
  • Premium growth supporting earnings outlook

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Consistent cash generation and low leverage
  • Undervalued relative to peers and industry PE
  • Diversified geographic footprint mitigating single‑market risk

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Profit Margin11.53%
P/E Ratio11.8
ROE19.33%
ROA4.20%
Debt/Equity33.67
P/B Ratio2.2
Op. Cash FlowA$4.2B
Free Cash FlowA$3.7B
Industry P/E17.3

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI57.4
SupportA$21.76
ResistanceA$24.60
MA 20A$23.11
MA 50A$22.79
MA 200A$20.93
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.82

Valuation

Fair ValueA$32.85
Target PriceA$23.30
Upside/Downside-1.16%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta0.14
Volatility24.11%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.