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QAMC:QSEQatar Aluminium Manufacturing Company Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time

QAR 1.42

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

QAMC is trading well below its short‑ and medium‑term moving averages, with the price sitting beneath both the 20‑day and 50‑day SMA lines, indicating a bearish technical backdrop. The RSI sits in the mid‑30s, suggesting limited momentum but not yet in oversold territory, while the MACD histogram is negative, reinforcing a bearish signal. Volume has been on the rise, providing some liquidity support amid a 30‑day volatility that is markedly high for the market. On the fundamentals side, the company offers an attractive dividend yield that exceeds 7% and maintains a payout ratio below 70%, pointing to a reasonably sustainable income stream despite negative operating cash flow. The balance sheet is clean with zero debt, and the return on equity is respectable, though return on assets is marginally negative. A discounted cash flow model pins the intrinsic value far below the current market price, yet analyst consensus targets imply roughly a 30% upside, creating a valuation tension between value and growth narratives. Overall, the stock presents a mixed picture: strong dividend appeal and a solid capital structure versus bearish technical signals and valuation concerns.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • price below key moving averages
  • RSI indicating limited upside
  • negative MACD momentum

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • analyst price targets suggest upside
  • high dividend yield with sustainable payout
  • strong balance sheet and zero debt

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • long‑term aluminum demand fundamentals
  • parent company backing and sector stability
  • consistent dividend income and low leverage

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

P/E Ratio10.1
ROE11.11%
ROA-0.11%
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash FlowQAR-26728000
Free Cash FlowQAR5.7M

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI34.8
SupportQAR 1.27
ResistanceQAR 1.85
MA 20QAR 1.58
MA 50QAR 1.68
MA 200QAR 1.52
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index79.16

Valuation

Fair ValueQAR 0.29
Target PriceQAR 1.84
Upside/Downside29.68%
GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield7.06%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.03
Volatility46.04%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.