PSNY:NASDAQPolestar Automotive Holding UK Limited analysis
Data as of Oct 18, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- $3.90
- Risk: high
- 9/10High risk
Summary
The moving-average structure behind Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC is bearish at $3.90, with short-term averages lagging the long-term ones. Over a rolling month the price has lost 55.1%. With RSI at 12.1 the momentum picture is oversold, alongside a bearish MACD signal. Watch $3.83 as support and $8.15 as the nearer resistance level.
The company is not currently profitable on a trailing basis, so earnings multiples offer no valuation support. The average analyst target implies 92.3% above today's level. Revenue is contracting at 4.4% on a -67.0% profit margin.
Risk comes out at 9 of a possible 10, a high reading. With 30-day volatility of 69.8%, a beta of 0.95 and a maximum drawdown of 85.3%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. Thin trading volumes mean execution costs can be material on larger orders. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 86 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is sell while the long-term read is hold, conviction 2 out of 10.
The company is not currently profitable on a trailing basis, so earnings multiples offer no valuation support. The average analyst target implies 92.3% above today's level. Revenue is contracting at 4.4% on a -67.0% profit margin.
Risk comes out at 9 of a possible 10, a high reading. With 30-day volatility of 69.8%, a beta of 0.95 and a maximum drawdown of 85.3%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. Thin trading volumes mean execution costs can be material on larger orders. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 86 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is sell while the long-term read is hold, conviction 2 out of 10.
Top market events
- Polestar navigates a transformative quarter with record retail volumes, improved margins, and a decisive shift toward...
- Reuters reported that Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC NASDAQ:PSNY cut its full-year 2026 delivery forecast on...
- Seeking Alpha1monPolestar Automotive Holding UK PLC PSNY Q2 2026 Earnings Call TranscriptGood day, and thank you for...
Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence4/104 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- RSI at 12.1 signals oversold conditions
- Trading below the 200-day average of 16.19
Medium term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence3/103 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- RSI at 12.1 signals oversold conditions
- Trading below the 200-day average of 16.19
Long term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence2/102 out of 10
Key factors
- Negative profit margin of -67.0%
- Analyst targets imply +92.3% versus the current price
- Revenue contracting at -4.4%
Key metrics
Financial health
Revenue Growth-4.40%
Profit Margin-66.98%
P/E Ratio-0.7
ROA-18.91%
P/B Ratio-0.1
Op. Cash Flow$-1267243008
Free Cash Flow$-1020823104
Technical analysis
TrendBearish
RSI12.1
Support$3.83
Resistance$8.15
MA 20$5.92
MA 50$9.17
MA 200$16.19
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index85.73
Valuation
Target Price$7.50
Upside/Downside92.31%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Risk assessment
Beta0.95
Volatility69.79%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.