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PSMT:NASDAQPriceSmart, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time

$162.90

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

PriceSmart, Inc. is currently trading at $162.9, comfortably above its 20‑day and 50‑day simple moving averages, while the 14‑day RSI hovers around the mid‑60s, suggesting that momentum remains on the bullish side of the spectrum.
The MACD histogram is positive and the MACD line sits above its signal line, reinforcing a short‑term bullish technical picture despite the broader market’s “Extreme Greed” sentiment.
Fundamentally, the stock carries a trailing P/E of roughly 32× earnings and a forward P/E near 23×, a price‑to‑book ratio of about 3.7×, and a modest dividend yield just under 1%, all of which point to an overvalued status relative to its earnings power and book value.
Nevertheless, the company generates solid operating cash flow, maintains a healthy free‑cash‑flow balance, and pays a sustainable dividend out of a low payout ratio, while its defensive consumer‑sector positioning and low beta (≈0.8) temper the overall risk profile.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price above 20‑day SMA and 50‑day SMA
  • RSI in moderate‑momentum zone
  • bullish MACD histogram

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • stable operating cash flow and free cash flow
  • defensive consumer‑defensive sector with low beta
  • sustainable dividend payout

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • strong balance sheet (book value per share > $44)
  • steady dividend yield and low payout ratio
  • moderate revenue growth and defensive industry positioning

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth9.70%
Profit Margin2.82%
P/E Ratio32.1
ROE12.45%
ROA6.95%
Debt/Equity23.64
P/B Ratio3.7
Op. Cash Flow$268.2M
Free Cash Flow$68.9M

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI59.9
Support$152.65
Resistance$165.25
MA 20$157.98
MA 50$153.80
MA 200$133.19
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.2

Valuation

Fair Value$43.30
Target Price$153.33
Upside/Downside-5.87%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.86%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.79
Volatility30.89%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.