PSMT:NASDAQPriceSmart, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-31 - not real-time
$169.34
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The moving-average structure behind PriceSmart, Inc. is neutral at $169.34, with no clear ordering between short and long averages. Over a rolling month the price has lost 9.0%. With RSI at 37.7 the momentum picture is approaching oversold, alongside a bearish MACD signal. Price has been bracketed by support at $165.72 and resistance at $198.61.
Multiples put this in overvalued territory at a P/E of 32.6. Revenue is growing at 12.5% on a 2.8% profit margin. The 0.83% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 4 out of 10, which is moderate for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 33.9%, a beta of 0.64 and a maximum drawdown of 14.7%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on hold — conviction 2 out of 10.
Multiples put this in overvalued territory at a P/E of 32.6. Revenue is growing at 12.5% on a 2.8% profit margin. The 0.83% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 4 out of 10, which is moderate for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 33.9%, a beta of 0.64 and a maximum drawdown of 14.7%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on hold — conviction 2 out of 10.
Top Market Events
Pricesmart Inc PSMT reports a robust 12.5% increase in net merchandise sales and announces its first warehouse club in...Yahoo Finance1monPricesmart Inc PSMT Q3 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Revenue Growth and Strategic .NET MERCHANDISE SALES GREW 12.5%COMPARABLE NET MERCHANDISE SALES INCREASED 10.7%$1.28 EARNINGS PER DILUTED SHARE SAN...
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- Trading above the 200-day average of 156.48
- MACD momentum is negative
- 30-day price change of -9.0%
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- Trading above the 200-day average of 156.48
- MACD momentum is negative
- P/E ratio of 32.6
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- Revenue growth of +12.5%
- P/E ratio of 32.6
- Dividend yield of 0.83%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth12.50%
Profit Margin2.82%
P/E Ratio32.6
ROE12.31%
ROA7.00%
Debt/Equity24.02
P/B Ratio3.7
Op. Cash Flow$274.4M
Free Cash Flow$58.3M
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI37.7
Support$165.72
Resistance$198.61
MA 20$177.82
MA 50$185.31
MA 200$156.48
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.05
Valuation
Fair Value$40.50
Target Price$166.00
Upside/Downside-1.97%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.83%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.64
Volatility33.89%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.