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PSMT:NASDAQPriceSmart, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-26 - not real-time

$161.10

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

PriceSmart’s price action remains firmly in a bullish zone, with the 20‑day SMA sitting above both the 50‑day and 200‑day averages and the RSI hovering around 60, indicating continued upward momentum. The MACD line is above its signal line, reinforcing the bullish bias, yet the stock is trading just shy of the identified resistance near $165 and volume has been trending lower, suggesting a potential short‑term pause. The market’s “Extreme Greed” sentiment and a DCF‑derived fair value of roughly $45 versus the current $161 price point flag a notable overvaluation risk.
On the fundamentals side, the company delivered a solid 9.7% revenue growth year‑over‑year, with forward EPS expected to rise to $7.05, and maintains a modest dividend yield of 0.87% supported by a 26% payout ratio. Operating margins remain thin but stable, and the balance sheet shows cash roughly equal to debt, while a beta under 0.7 points to lower systematic risk. The defensive consumer‑discretionary positioning, combined with emerging‑market exposure, offers a blend of growth potential and value considerations.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Proximity to the $165 resistance level
  • Decreasing volume trend
  • DCF fair value far below current price

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth and improving EPS outlook
  • Defensive sector with low beta
  • Sustainable dividend and healthy cash position

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Stable defensive positioning in consumer staples
  • Emerging‑market exposure adds geographic risk
  • Current valuation gap may limit upside

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth9.70%
Profit Margin2.82%
P/E Ratio31.8
ROE12.45%
ROA6.95%
Debt/Equity23.64
P/B Ratio3.6
Op. Cash Flow$268.2M
Free Cash Flow$68.9M

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI60.1
Support$143.52
Resistance$165.46
MA 20$156.04
MA 50$152.38
MA 200$129.20
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.02

Valuation

Fair Value$44.95
Target Price$153.33
Upside/Downside-4.82%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.87%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.68
Volatility32.03%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.