PSMT:NASDAQPriceSmart, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-26 - not real-time
$161.10
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
PriceSmart’s price action remains firmly in a bullish zone, with the 20‑day SMA sitting above both the 50‑day and 200‑day averages and the RSI hovering around 60, indicating continued upward momentum. The MACD line is above its signal line, reinforcing the bullish bias, yet the stock is trading just shy of the identified resistance near $165 and volume has been trending lower, suggesting a potential short‑term pause. The market’s “Extreme Greed” sentiment and a DCF‑derived fair value of roughly $45 versus the current $161 price point flag a notable overvaluation risk.
On the fundamentals side, the company delivered a solid 9.7% revenue growth year‑over‑year, with forward EPS expected to rise to $7.05, and maintains a modest dividend yield of 0.87% supported by a 26% payout ratio. Operating margins remain thin but stable, and the balance sheet shows cash roughly equal to debt, while a beta under 0.7 points to lower systematic risk. The defensive consumer‑discretionary positioning, combined with emerging‑market exposure, offers a blend of growth potential and value considerations.
On the fundamentals side, the company delivered a solid 9.7% revenue growth year‑over‑year, with forward EPS expected to rise to $7.05, and maintains a modest dividend yield of 0.87% supported by a 26% payout ratio. Operating margins remain thin but stable, and the balance sheet shows cash roughly equal to debt, while a beta under 0.7 points to lower systematic risk. The defensive consumer‑discretionary positioning, combined with emerging‑market exposure, offers a blend of growth potential and value considerations.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Proximity to the $165 resistance level
- Decreasing volume trend
- DCF fair value far below current price
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strong revenue growth and improving EPS outlook
- Defensive sector with low beta
- Sustainable dividend and healthy cash position
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Stable defensive positioning in consumer staples
- Emerging‑market exposure adds geographic risk
- Current valuation gap may limit upside
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth9.70%
Profit Margin2.82%
P/E Ratio31.8
ROE12.45%
ROA6.95%
Debt/Equity23.64
P/B Ratio3.6
Op. Cash Flow$268.2M
Free Cash Flow$68.9M
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI60.1
Support$143.52
Resistance$165.46
MA 20$156.04
MA 50$152.38
MA 200$129.20
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.02
Valuation
Fair Value$44.95
Target Price$153.33
Upside/Downside-4.82%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.87%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.68
Volatility32.03%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.