PSKY:NASDAQParamount Skydance Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time
$9.82
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Paramount Skydance (PSKY) is trading at $9.82, dramatically below its DCF‑derived fair value of $196, suggesting a deep valuation gap. The stock’s forward PE of 11.3 contrasts sharply with a trailing PE of 327, reflecting improving earnings expectations after a Q1 beat and the addition of 700,000 Paramount+ subscribers, pushing the total near 80 million. However, technicals are weak: the price sits below the 20‑day ($10.74) and 50‑day ($10.31) SMAs, RSI is at 38, and MACD is bearish, while volatility remains high at 53% over the past 30 days. Short‑term momentum is negative, but medium‑term fundamentals and strategic growth from the merger and streaming expansion provide upside potential.
Given the low payout ratio (≈6.7%) and a 2.04% dividend yield, the dividend appears sustainable, but the company’s high debt load and negative ROE introduce financial risk that investors should monitor.
Given the low payout ratio (≈6.7%) and a 2.04% dividend yield, the dividend appears sustainable, but the company’s high debt load and negative ROE introduce financial risk that investors should monitor.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price below 20‑day and 50‑day moving averages
- Bearish MACD and RSI indicating weak momentum
- Proximity to near‑term support level at $9.76
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strong subscriber growth and streaming revenue tailwind
- Forward PE of 11.3 versus industry average PE ~17
- Large valuation upside (≈31% upside to DCF fair value)
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Strategic merger with Warner Bros. positioning for a unified streaming platform
- High leverage (debt‑to‑equity >130) and negative ROE
- Sustainable dividend with very low payout ratio
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth2.20%
Profit Margin-2.08%
P/E Ratio327.3
ROE-0.77%
ROA2.81%
Debt/Equity130.17
P/B Ratio0.9
Op. Cash Flow$654.0M
Free Cash Flow$16.4B
Industry P/E17.2
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI38.0
Support$9.76
Resistance$11.92
MA 20$10.74
MA 50$10.31
MA 200$13.35
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.34
Valuation
Fair Value$196.05
Target Price$12.87
Upside/Downside31.03%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.04%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.47
Volatility53.17%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.