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PSKY:NASDAQParamount Skydance Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-17 - not real-time

$10.30

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Paramount Skydance (PSKY) is trading at $10.3, well below its 20‑day SMA of 10.45 and the 50‑day SMA of 10.72, signaling a short‑term bearish bias. The MACD histogram is negative and the RSI sits near the neutral 46 mark, confirming limited upward momentum. Volatility is elevated at roughly 36% over the past 30 days, and the beta is modest, indicating price swings are more company‑specific than market‑driven. Fundamental metrics are mixed: a trailing P/E of 343 dwarfs the industry average of 17, yet the forward P/E of 11.9 suggests earnings are expected to improve dramatically. The balance sheet is strained with $16.6 B of debt and a debt‑to‑equity ratio over 130, while cash reserves are under $2 B, raising concerns about dividend sustainability despite a 1.94% yield.
Material news centers on the pending $81 B acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery, which is under intense antitrust scrutiny and could reshape the media landscape. If approved, the deal may unlock significant revenue synergies and improve the forward earnings outlook, aligning with analyst median price targets around $12. However, regulatory risk remains high, and the company's current negative profit margin and modest free‑cash‑flow conversion add layers of uncertainty. Overall, the stock sits at a technical support of $9.71 with resistance near $11.17, offering limited upside in the near term but potential upside if the merger proceeds and earnings rebound.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish technical indicators (price below SMA, negative MACD)
  • High short‑term volatility and proximity to support level
  • Regulatory uncertainty surrounding the WBD acquisition

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Anticipated earnings boost from the Warner Bros. Discovery deal
  • Improving forward P/E relative to industry peers
  • Potential upside to analyst target range around $12

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strategic positioning in a consolidating entertainment sector
  • Long‑term cash‑flow improvement post‑integration
  • Opportunity for dividend policy revision if leverage is reduced

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth2.20%
Profit Margin-2.08%
P/E Ratio343.3
ROE-0.77%
ROA2.81%
Debt/Equity130.17
P/B Ratio1.0
Op. Cash Flow$654.0M
Free Cash Flow$16.4B
Industry P/E17.1

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI46.3
Support$9.71
Resistance$11.17
MA 20$10.45
MA 50$10.72
MA 200$13.06
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index92.16

Valuation

Fair Value$199.64
Target Price$12.64
Upside/Downside22.75%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.94%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.58
Volatility35.68%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.