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PSKY:NASDAQParamount Skydance Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time

$9.82

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Paramount Skydance (PSKY) is trading at $9.82, dramatically below its DCF‑derived fair value of $196, suggesting a deep valuation gap. The stock’s forward PE of 11.3 contrasts sharply with a trailing PE of 327, reflecting improving earnings expectations after a Q1 beat and the addition of 700,000 Paramount+ subscribers, pushing the total near 80 million. However, technicals are weak: the price sits below the 20‑day ($10.74) and 50‑day ($10.31) SMAs, RSI is at 38, and MACD is bearish, while volatility remains high at 53% over the past 30 days. Short‑term momentum is negative, but medium‑term fundamentals and strategic growth from the merger and streaming expansion provide upside potential.
Given the low payout ratio (≈6.7%) and a 2.04% dividend yield, the dividend appears sustainable, but the company’s high debt load and negative ROE introduce financial risk that investors should monitor.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price below 20‑day and 50‑day moving averages
  • Bearish MACD and RSI indicating weak momentum
  • Proximity to near‑term support level at $9.76

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong subscriber growth and streaming revenue tailwind
  • Forward PE of 11.3 versus industry average PE ~17
  • Large valuation upside (≈31% upside to DCF fair value)

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Strategic merger with Warner Bros. positioning for a unified streaming platform
  • High leverage (debt‑to‑equity >130) and negative ROE
  • Sustainable dividend with very low payout ratio

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth2.20%
Profit Margin-2.08%
P/E Ratio327.3
ROE-0.77%
ROA2.81%
Debt/Equity130.17
P/B Ratio0.9
Op. Cash Flow$654.0M
Free Cash Flow$16.4B
Industry P/E17.2

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI38.0
Support$9.76
Resistance$11.92
MA 20$10.74
MA 50$10.31
MA 200$13.35
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.34

Valuation

Fair Value$196.05
Target Price$12.87
Upside/Downside31.03%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.04%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.47
Volatility53.17%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.