PSEC:NASDAQProspect Capital Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-26 - not real-time
$2.33
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Prospect Capital (PSEC) is trading at $2.33, well below its 20‑day ($2.46), 50‑day ($2.57) and 200‑day ($2.70) simple moving averages, signaling a bearish price momentum. Technical indicators reinforce this view: the RSI sits at 41, the MACD histogram is negative, and the price is nearer the identified support of $2.11 than the resistance of $2.83. Volatility remains elevated at ~45% over the past 30 days, and the Fear & Greed Index registers an “Extreme Greed” reading of 90.9, suggesting heightened market optimism despite the downtrend.
Fundamentally, PSEC offers an exceptionally high dividend yield of 21.88% and trades at a price‑to‑book of 0.38, indicating a substantial discount to net asset value. The forward PE of 6.66 and a beta of 0.79 point to modest valuation and lower market sensitivity, while the historical max drawdown of –38% underscores downside risk. Recent earnings disclosed a net investment income of $78 million ($0.16 per share) and a strategic shift toward first‑lien senior secured middle‑market loans, moving away from higher‑risk structured notes and real estate. These operational changes aim to improve credit quality and sustain the generous payout, but the sustainability of the dividend remains a key consideration given the fund’s price weakness and broader credit cycle concerns.
Fundamentally, PSEC offers an exceptionally high dividend yield of 21.88% and trades at a price‑to‑book of 0.38, indicating a substantial discount to net asset value. The forward PE of 6.66 and a beta of 0.79 point to modest valuation and lower market sensitivity, while the historical max drawdown of –38% underscores downside risk. Recent earnings disclosed a net investment income of $78 million ($0.16 per share) and a strategic shift toward first‑lien senior secured middle‑market loans, moving away from higher‑risk structured notes and real estate. These operational changes aim to improve credit quality and sustain the generous payout, but the sustainability of the dividend remains a key consideration given the fund’s price weakness and broader credit cycle concerns.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price below key moving averages and bearish MACD
- High dividend yield but uncertain sustainability
- Recent earnings show asset rotation to senior secured loans
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strategic shift toward higher‑quality senior secured lending
- Attractive valuation metrics (forward PE 6.66, P/B 0.38)
- Potential for dividend continuity as credit quality improves
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Low beta (0.79) suggests reduced market volatility exposure
- Consistent income generation with a 21.88% yield
- Long‑term NAV appreciation prospects from improved asset mix
Key Metrics & Analysis
Closed-End Fund Metrics
Market Price2.33
Discount/Premium0.00%
Discount TrendStable
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI41.0
Support$2.11
Resistance$2.83
MA 20$2.46
MA 50$2.57
MA 200$2.70
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index90.89
Risk Assessment
Beta0.79
Volatility45.19%
Sector RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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CLOSED_END_FUNDThis analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.