PSCM:NASDAQInvesco S&P SmallCap Materials ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-26 - not real-time
$106.72
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The PSCM ETF is trading at its 52‑week high of $106.72, exactly matching the calculated resistance level, while the 20‑day SMA (101.42) sits above both the 50‑day (98.67) and 200‑day (85.19) averages, confirming a strong bullish trend. Momentum indicators are mixed: the MACD line (2.17) remains above its signal (1.85) signaling continued upside, yet the RSI is elevated at 70.68, placing the fund in overbought territory. Volume has been trending downwards, and 30‑day volatility is elevated at 25.5%, suggesting that a short‑term pull‑back could materialize despite the overall bullish bias.
Fundamentally, PSCM has delivered an impressive 18.18% YTD return and a 5‑year annualized return of 11.88% with a modest expense ratio of 0.29% and a low dividend yield of 1.09%. The ETF’s beta of 1.08 indicates slightly higher sensitivity to market moves, and its max drawdown of –14.33% reflects reasonable downside risk. The extreme greed reading (88.02) underscores strong investor sentiment, but the high sector concentration in small‑cap materials adds a layer of sector‑specific risk. Overall, the fund presents a compelling upside narrative tempered by overbought signals, liquidity constraints, and concentration exposure.
Fundamentally, PSCM has delivered an impressive 18.18% YTD return and a 5‑year annualized return of 11.88% with a modest expense ratio of 0.29% and a low dividend yield of 1.09%. The ETF’s beta of 1.08 indicates slightly higher sensitivity to market moves, and its max drawdown of –14.33% reflects reasonable downside risk. The extreme greed reading (88.02) underscores strong investor sentiment, but the high sector concentration in small‑cap materials adds a layer of sector‑specific risk. Overall, the fund presents a compelling upside narrative tempered by overbought signals, liquidity constraints, and concentration exposure.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- RSI in overbought zone (70.68)
- Price at resistance level ($106.72)
- Decreasing volume trend
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish SMA alignment (20‑day > 50‑day > 200‑day)
- Positive MACD histogram (+0.32)
- Strong YTD performance (18.18% return) and extreme greed sentiment
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- High sector concentration in materials
- Moderate beta (1.08) indicating slightly higher market sensitivity
- Reasonable expense ratio (0.29%) and solid multi‑year returns
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.29%
AUM$19.8M
Inception Date2010-04-07
Avg Daily Volume1,590
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield1.09%
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI70.7
Support$96.51
Resistance$106.72
MA 20$101.42
MA 50$98.67
MA 200$85.19
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.02
Risk Assessment
Beta1.08
Volatility25.50%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.