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PSCI:NASDAQInvesco S&P SmallCap Industrials ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-20 - not real-time

$161.80

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The Invesco S&P SmallCap Industrials ETF (PSCI) is riding a clear bullish framework, with the 20‑day SMA (170.11) sitting above the 50‑day (163.27) and 200‑day (156.25) averages, indicating upward momentum. Price is holding near a solid support level at 161.80, while the RSI of 38 suggests the fund is edging into oversold territory, offering a potential upside catalyst. Volume is on an increasing trend, reinforcing the price action despite modest absolute trading volumes. However, the MACD histogram remains negative and the MACD signal is flagged as bearish, hinting at short‑term downside pressure. The fund’s YTD return of nearly 15% and the prevailing “Extreme Greed” sentiment (fear‑greed index 89.21) add confidence to the upside narrative. At a low expense ratio of 0.29% and zero tracking error, the ETF tracks its benchmark efficiently, while the beta of 1.30 signals higher volatility relative to the market. The 30‑day volatility of ~24.8% and a max drawdown of roughly 15% underscore the inherent risk of small‑cap industrial exposure. Overall, PSCI presents a compelling blend of strong trend indicators and attractive valuation metrics, but investors should remain mindful of the lingering bearish MACD signal and elevated volatility.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near identified support level
  • Increasing volume trend
  • RSI approaching oversold levels

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish alignment of 20‑, 50‑, and 200‑day SMAs
  • Strong YTD performance and extreme greed sentiment
  • Low tracking error and modest expense ratio

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term growth prospects for US industrials small‑cap sector
  • Higher beta indicating potential for outperformance
  • Managed volatility through diversified small‑cap exposure

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.29%
AUM$172.4M
Inception Date2010-04-07
Avg Daily Volume4,930
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield0.48%

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI38.1
Support$161.80
Resistance$175.77
MA 20$170.11
MA 50$163.27
MA 200$156.25
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.21

Risk Assessment

Beta1.30
Volatility24.76%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.