PSCD:NASDAQInvesco S&P SmallCap Consumer Discretionary ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-28 - not real-time
$119.62
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The ETF is trading at $119.62, comfortably above its 20‑day ($112.50), 50‑day ($109.20) and 200‑day ($108.44) simple moving averages, signaling a strong bullish backdrop. MACD is in a bullish configuration (line $2.62 above signal $2.05) and the RSI sits at 70.6, indicating near‑overbought conditions but still below the typical 80‑threshold. Current price is hugging the identified resistance of $119.62 while support sits at $107, suggesting a potential short‑term pause. Volume trends are decreasing, with today's volume at 535 against a 10‑day average of 280, raising a modest liquidity caution. The market sentiment gauge shows an Extreme Greed reading of 88.55, reflecting aggressive investor appetite.
From a risk perspective, the fund carries a beta of 1.09 and a max drawdown of -17.3%, while its expense ratio is a modest 0.29% and dividend yield is 0.92%. Tracking error is effectively zero, and there is no currency exposure. These fundamentals, combined with a sector‑specific concentration in small‑cap consumer discretionary, shape a moderate‑to‑high risk profile that investors should weigh against the current bullish technical setup.
From a risk perspective, the fund carries a beta of 1.09 and a max drawdown of -17.3%, while its expense ratio is a modest 0.29% and dividend yield is 0.92%. Tracking error is effectively zero, and there is no currency exposure. These fundamentals, combined with a sector‑specific concentration in small‑cap consumer discretionary, shape a moderate‑to‑high risk profile that investors should weigh against the current bullish technical setup.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price at 52‑week high and near resistance
- RSI above 70 indicating overbought pressure
- Decreasing volume suggesting limited short‑term upside
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish alignment of all three SMAs
- Positive MACD histogram and bullish signal
- Low expense ratio and modest dividend yield supporting total return
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Sector cyclicality may introduce volatility over longer horizons
- Beta slightly above 1 indicating market‑linked risk
- Zero tracking error and stable expense structure provide consistency
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.29%
AUM$21.7M
Inception Date2010-04-07
Avg Daily Volume280
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield0.92%
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI70.6
Support$107.00
Resistance$119.62
MA 20$112.50
MA 50$109.20
MA 200$108.44
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.55
Risk Assessment
Beta1.09
Volatility22.55%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.