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PRTA:NASDAQProthena Corporation plc Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-06 - not real-time

$8.79

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Prothena posted a surprising Q1 2026 adjusted EPS of $0.52, beating the consensus loss estimate of $0.31, driven by a milestone payment that lifted revenue to $51.1 million – a dramatic increase from $2.8 million a year ago. Technical signals are mixed: the 20‑day SMA (≈9.61) sits just below the current price (8.79), while the 50‑day SMA (≈10.15) remains above, indicating a short‑term pull‑back. The RSI is around 37, suggesting the stock is approaching oversold territory, but the MACD histogram is negative and the MACD line sits below its signal, flagging bearish momentum. Risk metrics are elevated, with a 30‑day volatility of over 60% and a beta of 1.43, while the price is hovering near the identified support level of $8.63. Despite a negative trailing PE and a high price‑to‑sales multiple (≈7.9), analysts’ target prices imply a potential upside of more than 140%, pointing to significant undervaluation.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Recent earnings beat and milestone‑driven revenue surge
  • Price near technical support at $8.63
  • Bearish MACD despite oversold RSI

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Substantial cash position (~$329 M) relative to modest debt
  • Upcoming Phase 3 readouts for prasinezumab and coramitug
  • Analyst target price upside >140% indicating market mispricing

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Broad late‑stage pipeline across neurodegenerative diseases
  • Strategic collaborations with Roche and Bristol‑Myers Squibb
  • Potential for blockbuster‑scale approvals that could transform earnings

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth1706.40%
Profit Margin-260.92%
P/E Ratio-6.7
ROE-40.30%
ROA-13.78%
Debt/Equity2.45
P/B Ratio1.5
Op. Cash Flow$-81340000
Free Cash Flow$-31584500
Industry P/E27.9

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI37.4
Support$8.63
Resistance$11.80
MA 20$9.61
MA 50$10.15
MA 200$9.64
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index83.02

Valuation

Target Price$21.40
Upside/Downside143.46%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.43
Volatility61.54%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.