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PROP:NASDAQPrairie Operating Co. Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-25 - not real-time

$1.16

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Prairie Operating Co. (PROP) is trading at $1.16, barely above its calculated support of $1.13, while all three moving averages (20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day) sit higher, confirming a sustained bearish trend. Technical indicators such as an RSI of 37 and a MACD histogram in negative territory signal continued downside momentum, and the volume trend is decreasing, suggesting waning buying interest. The stock exhibits extreme short‑term volatility at 177% over the past 30 days, yet its beta of just 0.05 indicates little correlation with broader market moves. Fundamentally, the company’s forward PE of ~1.2 and a price‑to‑book of 0.56 are exceptionally low, but the balance sheet is strained with a debt‑to‑equity ratio above 100% and negative free cash flow. A discounted cash flow model places intrinsic value near $37 per share, implying a theoretical upside of roughly 277% versus the current price. Recent material news notes that the company has negotiated a 56% reduction in potential dilution from its Series F convertible preferred stock, which could improve capital structure and investor confidence. Despite these upside catalysts, the combination of high volatility, heavy debt load, and a bearish technical environment makes the near‑term outlook risky.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish technical indicators (RSI, MACD, moving averages)
  • Decreasing volume and proximity to support level
  • Extreme short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Forward earnings improvement and low forward PE
  • Significant valuation gap to DCF fair value
  • Reduction in dilution risk from preferred stock agreement

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Substantial upside potential relative to intrinsic value
  • Revenue growth and solid gross margin
  • Potential sector recovery and long‑term energy demand

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth945.60%
Profit Margin13.26%
P/E Ratio1.2
ROE15.67%
ROA7.62%
Debt/Equity104.05
P/B Ratio0.6
Op. Cash Flow$153.9M
Free Cash Flow$-534919872
Industry P/E21.9

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI37.1
Support$1.13
Resistance$2.55
MA 20$1.63
MA 50$1.71
MA 200$2.07
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.02

Valuation

Fair Value$36.99
Target Price$4.38
Upside/Downside277.16%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta0.05
Volatility177.64%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.