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PRKS:NYSEUnited Parks & Resorts Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-25 - not real-time

$33.80

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

United Parks & Resorts (PRKS) trades around $33.80, sitting just above its 20‑day SMA ($34.84) but well below the 200‑day SMA ($41.65), signaling a short‑term bounce within a longer‑term downtrend. Technical momentum is mixed: the RSI hovers near the neutral 45 mark, while the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is flagged bearish, suggesting limited upside in the near term. The stock’s beta of 1.5 and 30‑day volatility of 43 % imply heightened price swings, and volume remains stable but below average, pointing to modest liquidity. Fundamentally, the company faces pressure – revenue fell 2.8% YoY, Q4 GAAP profit missed expectations, and a hefty debt load of over $2.35 B dwarfs its cash balance of roughly $100 M, resulting in a negative book value per share. Nonetheless, valuation metrics appear attractive: a trailing PE of 11×, a forward PE near 7.7×, and analyst price targets averaging $41–$42 suggest upside of roughly 20‑25 % from current levels. Recent material news, including a DOJ lawsuit over accessibility policies, adds a regulatory headwind, but the broader market sentiment is in “Extreme Greed” mode, which could buoy the stock if operational improvements materialize.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Q4 earnings miss and revenue decline
  • Bearish MACD and proximity to support level
  • Pending DOJ accessibility lawsuit

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Forward EPS guidance implying earnings acceleration
  • Attractive forward PE and analyst upside estimates
  • Extreme greed market sentiment supporting risk‑on buying

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Potential debt restructuring and cash‑flow improvement
  • Long‑term valuation upside relative to peer leisure assets
  • Sector recovery as discretionary spending rebounds

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-2.80%
Profit Margin10.13%
P/E Ratio11.0
ROA9.29%
P/B Ratio-4.0
Op. Cash Flow$380.1M
Free Cash Flow$79.4M

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI45.4
Support$28.77
Resistance$38.10
MA 20$34.84
MA 50$33.95
MA 200$41.65
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index88.02

Valuation

Target Price$42.40
Upside/Downside25.44%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta1.51
Volatility43.68%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.