PRIM:NYSEPrimoris Services Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-25 - not real-time
$171.60
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Primoris is trading well above its short‑term moving averages, with the MACD line firmly above its signal line and the RSI sitting in the upper‑mid range, signaling strong bullish momentum supported by rising volume. The company’s backlog has expanded to near $12 billion, providing clear revenue visibility, and the recent acquisition of PayneCrest Electric adds valuable electrical capabilities that should deepen its utility and renewable energy exposure.
However, the market price is significantly higher than the DCF‑derived fair value, and the forward PE remains well above the industry average, suggesting the stock is currently overvalued. The dividend payout is modest with ample cash flow, indicating sustainability, but the high beta and elevated 30‑day volatility point to considerable price swings. Overall, the fundamentals are solid, yet valuation compression and market sensitivity warrant a measured approach.
However, the market price is significantly higher than the DCF‑derived fair value, and the forward PE remains well above the industry average, suggesting the stock is currently overvalued. The dividend payout is modest with ample cash flow, indicating sustainability, but the high beta and elevated 30‑day volatility point to considerable price swings. Overall, the fundamentals are solid, yet valuation compression and market sensitivity warrant a measured approach.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish technical setup with price above key moving averages
- Recent acquisition may cause short‑term integration costs
- Current price near resistance level limiting upside
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Expanding backlog and strong pipeline in energy and utility infrastructure
- Acquisition enhances service breadth and cross‑selling opportunities
- Robust cash flow supports continued growth and modest dividend
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term U.S. infrastructure spending and renewable energy transition
- Solid balance sheet with manageable debt and low payout ratio
- Strategic positioning in both utilities and energy construction markets
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth6.70%
Profit Margin3.63%
P/E Ratio34.1
ROE17.79%
ROA6.01%
Debt/Equity56.57
P/B Ratio5.5
Op. Cash Flow$470.4M
Free Cash Flow$291.6M
Industry P/E31.1
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI64.8
Support$132.60
Resistance$176.68
MA 20$157.85
MA 50$151.70
MA 200$131.98
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.02
Valuation
Fair Value$88.66
Target Price$175.43
Upside/Downside2.23%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.19%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.81
Volatility52.08%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.