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PRIM:NYSEPrimoris Services Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-06 - not real-time

$90.20

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Technical outlook: PRIM trades at $90.2, well below its 20‑day ($99.27), 50‑day ($120.61) and 200‑day ($135.09) simple moving averages, confirming a bearish price trend. The 14‑day RSI sits at 39.6, indicating modest oversold pressure, while the MACD line (-7.99) is just above its signal (-8.29), yielding a bullish histogram signal but still in negative territory. Volume is on an increasing trend and the stock exhibits extreme 30‑day volatility (>111%) and a high beta (≈1.8), underscoring pronounced price swings.
Fundamental & news context: The forward PE of 16.8 is below the industry average of 32.2, suggesting relative value, yet the DCF‑derived fair value of $20.66 is dramatically lower than current price, flagging potential overvaluation. Profit margins are thin (gross 10.4%, operating 1.85%) and revenue is contracting (-5.4%). Dividend yield is modest at 0.36% with a very low payout ratio (7%), indicating sustainability. Recent material news includes a COO departure, ongoing securities‑law investigations, and a JPMorgan upgrade to Overweight with a $116 price target, providing a mixed catalyst environment.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price below key moving averages and bearish technical momentum
  • Elevated volatility and beta indicating price instability
  • Regulatory investigations creating near‑term uncertainty

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst upgrade and $116 price target implying ~29% upside
  • Relative valuation advantage (PE below industry average)
  • Sustainable dividend and solid operating cash flow

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑run infrastructure demand in utilities and energy segments
  • Thin profit margins and revenue contraction limiting growth
  • Persistent high volatility and regulatory risk tempering optimism

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-5.40%
Profit Margin3.31%
P/E Ratio19.9
ROE15.85%
ROA5.51%
Debt/Equity55.11
P/B Ratio2.9
Op. Cash Flow$281.6M
Free Cash Flow$128.2M
Industry P/E32.2

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI39.6
Support$65.00
Resistance$130.00
MA 20$99.27
MA 50$120.61
MA 200$135.09
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.63

Valuation

Fair Value$20.66
Target Price$129.54
Upside/Downside43.61%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield0.36%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.79
Volatility111.41%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.