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PQJA:NASDAQPGIM Nasdaq-100 Buffer 12 ETF - January Analysis

Data as of 2026-09-07 - not real-time

$32.32

Latest Price

3/10Risk

Risk Level: Low

Executive Summary

The moving-average structure behind PGIM Nasdaq-100 Buffer 12 ETF - January is bullish at $32.32, with short-term averages leading the long-term ones. It has gained 3.7% over the past 30 days. Momentum indicators put RSI at 63.9 (approaching overbought) with MACD reading bearish. Watch $31.99 as support and $32.32 as the nearer resistance level.
The 0.50% expense ratio is middling for its category, and the fund manages $32.6M in assets.
Risk scores 3 out of 10, which is low for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 7.2%, a beta of 0.63 and a maximum drawdown of 6.8%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. Thin trading volumes mean execution costs can be material on larger orders. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is buy while the long-term read is hold, conviction 3 out of 10.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 30.20
  • MACD momentum is negative

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 30.20
  • MACD momentum is negative

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • Thin trading liquidity raises execution risk
  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • 30-day volatility of 7.2%

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.50%
AUM$32.6M
Inception Date2024-12-27
Avg Daily Volume2,880
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI63.9
Support$31.99
Resistance$32.32
MA 20$32.14
MA 50$31.76
MA 200$30.20
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.21

Risk Assessment

Beta0.63
Volatility7.21%
Sector RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.