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PQAP:NASDAQPGIM Nasdaq-100 Buffer 12 ETF - April Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-25 - not real-time

$31.13

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

PQAP is trading at the top of its 52‑week range ($31.13) and just below the calculated resistance level of $31.13, while comfortably above its 20‑day SMA ($30.15) and 50‑day SMA ($29.41), indicating a bullish price trajectory. The MACD histogram remains positive (bullish signal) and the 30‑day volatility is modest at 6.37%, underscoring a relatively calm market environment. However, the RSI sits at an elevated 84.9, suggesting the ETF may be overbought in the near term. The fund’s beta of 0.35 and a max drawdown of only –1.39% reflect low market sensitivity and strong downside protection, which aligns with its buffer‑12 design. With an expense ratio of 0.5% and zero tracking error, costs are transparent and performance closely mirrors the underlying Nasdaq‑100 index.
Liquidity is a concern: average daily volume hovers around 7,900 shares, and today's trading volume dropped to just 17 shares, indicating thin trading and potential execution risk. The ETF’s sector exposure is heavily weighted toward technology due to its Nasdaq‑100 focus, raising sector concentration risk. Despite these caveats, the defined‑outcome structure offers a capped upside with a buffered downside, making PQAP attractive for investors seeking modest growth with limited volatility in a predominantly tech‑driven market.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • RSI indicating overbought conditions
  • Price approaching resistance level
  • Decreasing trading volume raising execution risk

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Low beta and modest volatility support stable performance
  • Buffer structure limits downside risk
  • Reasonable expense ratio enhances net returns

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Defined‑outcome buffer provides consistent risk‑adjusted return
  • Limited drawdown history reinforces capital preservation
  • Tech‑heavy Nasdaq‑100 exposure aligns with long‑term growth trends

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.50%
AUM$15.7M
Inception Date2024-12-27
Avg Daily Volume7,910
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield0.02%

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI84.9
Support$29.02
Resistance$31.13
MA 20$30.15
MA 50$29.41
MA 200$28.39
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.02

Risk Assessment

Beta0.35
Volatility6.37%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.