PQAP:NASDAQPGIM Nasdaq-100 Buffer 12 ETF - April Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time
$31.81
Latest Price
3/10Risk
Risk Level: Low
Executive Summary
The ETF is trading just above its 20‑day SMA (31.86) and well above the 200‑day SMA (29.12), confirming the bullish trend direction indicated by the price action. The RSI sits at 55, suggesting modest momentum without being overbought, while the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, hinting at a potential short‑term pullback toward the identified support level of 31.42. With a beta of 0.33 and a 30‑day volatility of 6.6%, the fund exhibits considerably lower market sensitivity than the broader Nasdaq‑100. The YTD return of 12.19% outperforms many peers, and the expense ratio remains modest at 0.5%, reinforcing the fund’s cost‑efficiency. Extreme Greed on the fear‑greed index (89.86) reflects strong investor appetite, yet the defined‑outcome buffer structure provides a built‑in downside cushion.
Liquidity is modest, with daily volumes around 3,300 shares and total assets of roughly $21 million, which may limit large‑scale trading but is sufficient for most retail investors. The ETF’s sector concentration in the tech‑heavy Nasdaq‑100 introduces a medium‑level concentration risk, while tracking risk is low given a zero tracking error and no premium/discount. Currency exposure is negligible as the fund is USD‑denominated.
Liquidity is modest, with daily volumes around 3,300 shares and total assets of roughly $21 million, which may limit large‑scale trading but is sufficient for most retail investors. The ETF’s sector concentration in the tech‑heavy Nasdaq‑100 introduces a medium‑level concentration risk, while tracking risk is low given a zero tracking error and no premium/discount. Currency exposure is negligible as the fund is USD‑denominated.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price near support (31.42) with bearish MACD signal
- Moderate RSI indicating limited upside momentum
- High market sentiment (Extreme Greed) may trigger short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Low beta (0.33) and modest volatility (6.6%) reduce market risk
- Defined‑outcome buffer offers downside protection while preserving upside
- Strong YTD performance (12.19%) and low expense ratio (0.5%)
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Limited track record since inception (Dec 2024) adds uncertainty
- Tech‑heavy Nasdaq‑100 exposure creates sector concentration risk
- Buffer protection is time‑bound and may diminish long‑term upside potential
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.50%
AUM$20.9M
Inception Date2024-12-27
Avg Daily Volume3,900
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield0.02%
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI55.2
Support$31.42
Resistance$32.15
MA 20$31.86
MA 50$31.28
MA 200$29.12
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Risk Assessment
Beta0.33
Volatility6.64%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.