PM:NYSEPhilip Morris International Inc Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-21 - not real-time
$188.63
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Philip Morris International is riding a wave of bullish technical signals, with short‑term moving averages comfortably above longer‑term averages and a momentum‑driven MACD crossing confirming upward pressure. The recent FDA guidance that eases enforcement on its nicotine products has sparked a notable price rally, while the stock remains near its 52‑week high, supported by strong operating margins and a robust dividend yield.
The valuation appears stretched relative to intrinsic estimates, but the company’s cash‑generating capacity, high payout ratio, and continued rollout of smoke‑free offerings provide a solid dividend foundation and growth narrative. Investors should weigh the upside from regulatory tailwinds against the premium pricing and inherent sector risks.
The valuation appears stretched relative to intrinsic estimates, but the company’s cash‑generating capacity, high payout ratio, and continued rollout of smoke‑free offerings provide a solid dividend foundation and growth narrative. Investors should weigh the upside from regulatory tailwinds against the premium pricing and inherent sector risks.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Favorable FDA guidance boosting sentiment
- Bullish MACD and price above key support
- Increasing volume confirming momentum
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Steady revenue growth driven by smoke‑free portfolio
- High dividend yield providing income cushion
- Valuation premium relative to discounted cash‑flow estimate
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term regulatory uncertainty in tobacco markets
- Sustained cash flow supporting dividend payouts
- Potential upside from global expansion of reduced‑risk products
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth9.10%
Profit Margin26.74%
P/E Ratio26.9
ROA15.46%
P/B Ratio-29.4
Op. Cash Flow$12.2B
Free Cash Flow$8.6B
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI67.6
Support$160.67
Resistance$193.05
MA 20$175.79
MA 50$168.05
MA 200$165.23
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.29
Valuation
Fair Value$73.87
Target Price$192.79
Upside/Downside2.20%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.07%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.01
Volatility36.43%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.