PM:NYSEPhilip Morris International Inc Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-03 - not real-time
$187.42
Latest Price
3/10Risk
Risk Level: Low
Executive Summary
At $187.42, Philip Morris International Inc. shows a bullish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages sitting above longer ones. Across the trailing 30 sessions it lost 1.9%. Relative strength is 47.3 — neutral — and the MACD signal is bearish. Recent trading has carved out support near $184.02 and resistance around $196.66.
The shares look fair at 25.6 times earnings, though no sector average was available for comparison. The average analyst target implies 10.5% above today's level. Revenue is growing at 10.4% on a 25.6% profit margin. The 3.13% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 3 out of 10, which is low for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 23.6%, a beta of -0.16 and a maximum drawdown of 19.3%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on buy — conviction 5 out of 10.
The shares look fair at 25.6 times earnings, though no sector average was available for comparison. The average analyst target implies 10.5% above today's level. Revenue is growing at 10.4% on a 25.6% profit margin. The 3.13% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 3 out of 10, which is low for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 23.6%, a beta of -0.16 and a maximum drawdown of 19.3%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on buy — conviction 5 out of 10.
Top Market Events
Philip Morris International Inc. NYSE:PM cut its 2026 adjusted earnings forecast for the third time this year on July...Tobacco company Philip Morris International NYSE:PM in Q2 CY2026, with sales up 10.ADVFN1monPhilip Morris shares edge lower despite second-quarter earnings beat and record revenue NYSE:PM Philip Morris...
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Trading above the 200-day average of 174.26
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Trading above the 200-day average of 174.26
- Analyst targets imply +10.5% versus the current price
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Analyst targets imply +10.5% versus the current price
- Profit margin of 25.6% is healthy
- Revenue growth of +10.4%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth10.40%
Profit Margin25.56%
P/E Ratio25.6
ROA14.59%
P/B Ratio-34.0
Op. Cash Flow$14.3B
Free Cash Flow$9.7B
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI47.3
Support$184.02
Resistance$196.66
MA 20$189.04
MA 50$187.88
MA 200$174.26
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index95.43
Valuation
Fair Value$94.11
Target Price$207.13
Upside/Downside10.52%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.13%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.16
Volatility23.61%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.