PLTD:NASDAQDirexion Daily PLTR Bear 1X ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time
$8.22
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
The fund is trading at $8.22, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of 7.69, 50‑day SMA of 7.72 and 200‑day SMA of 7.28, indicating short‑term price strength despite a neutral overall trend. Momentum indicators are supportive: RSI sits at 59.8 (well below overbought levels) and the MACD line (+0.066) sits above its signal (‑0.021), producing a bullish histogram. However, the fund’s beta of –1.78 signals a strong inverse relationship to PLTR, and the 30‑day volatility of 57.7% underscores the potential for rapid swings. The expense ratio of 0.98% is relatively high for an ETF, and the max drawdown of ‑39.9% highlights historical downside risk. Market sentiment is at an Extreme Greed level (fear‑greed index 89.86), which may fuel further price swings. Volume remains robust (>35 M shares) but is trending downward, suggesting liquidity could soften if pressure mounts. Taken together, the fund shows short‑term price momentum but carries significant risk from its inverse exposure, high volatility, and expense drag, making it unsuitable for long‑term holding.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD and price above short‑term SMAs
- High 30‑day volatility and decreasing volume trend
- Negative beta indicating inverse exposure to PLTR
Medium Term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Potential compounding decay in inverse exposure
- Elevated expense ratio and historic max drawdown
- Extreme greed market environment increasing downside risk
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Inverse single‑stock structure unsuitable for long horizons
- High volatility and negative beta amplify risk over time
- Expense drag and historical drawdown erode returns
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.98%
AUM$35.9M
Inception Date2024-12-10
Avg Daily Volume36,087,010
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield3.57%
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI59.8
Support$6.47
Resistance$8.30
MA 20$7.69
MA 50$7.72
MA 200$7.28
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Risk Assessment
Beta-1.78
Volatility57.67%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.