PLOW:NYSEDouglas Dynamics, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-21 - not real-time
$42.18
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The moving-average structure behind Douglas Dynamics, Inc. is neutral at $42.18, with no clear ordering between short and long averages. It has lost 1.9% over the past 30 days. RSI sits at 43.4, which reads as neutral, and MACD momentum is bearish. The recent range runs from support at $38.68 up to resistance at $46.29.
Valuation screens as fair, on a P/E of 19.2 with no clean sector comparison available. Analyst price targets sit 28.0% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 10.5% on a 7.5% profit margin. The 2.87% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 6 — elevated. With 30-day volatility of 38.0%, a beta of 0.94 and a maximum drawdown of 24.2%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
Near-term and long-term part ways here — hold short-term against buy longer out, with 5/10 conviction on the long call.
Valuation screens as fair, on a P/E of 19.2 with no clean sector comparison available. Analyst price targets sit 28.0% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 10.5% on a 7.5% profit margin. The 2.87% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 6 — elevated. With 30-day volatility of 38.0%, a beta of 0.94 and a maximum drawdown of 24.2%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
Near-term and long-term part ways here — hold short-term against buy longer out, with 5/10 conviction on the long call.
Top Market Events
Snow and ice equipment company Douglas Dynamics NYSE:PLOW in Q2 CY2026, but sales rose 10.MILWAUKEE, July 21, 2026 GLOBE NEWSWIRE -- Douglas Dynamics, Inc.MILWAUKEE, July 21, 2026 GLOBE NEWSWIRE -- Douglas Dynamics, Inc.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Trading above the 200-day average of 41.21
- MACD momentum is negative
- Maximum drawdown of 24.2%
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Trading above the 200-day average of 41.21
- Analyst targets imply +28.0% versus the current price
- MACD momentum is negative
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Analyst targets imply +28.0% versus the current price
- Revenue growth of +10.5%
- P/E ratio of 19.2
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth10.50%
Profit Margin7.52%
P/E Ratio19.2
ROE18.34%
ROA7.05%
Debt/Equity96.95
P/B Ratio3.5
Op. Cash Flow$62.2M
Free Cash Flow$34.3M
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI43.4
Support$38.68
Resistance$46.29
MA 20$43.07
MA 50$45.73
MA 200$41.21
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.41
Valuation
Fair Value$17.10
Target Price$54.00
Upside/Downside28.02%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.87%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.94
Volatility38.00%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.