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PLBY:NASDAQPlayboy, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time

$1.44

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Playboy, Inc. is currently trading below its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day moving averages, indicating a bearish price environment. RSI is hovering around the neutral zone, suggesting limited momentum, while the MACD histogram is modestly positive despite a negative line, hinting at a tentative short‑term bullish bias that is not yet decisive. The stock sits near a well‑defined support level and is still below a key resistance zone, with a decreasing volume trend that underscores waning buying interest. A beta well above one and a 30‑day volatility exceeding typical market levels point to heightened price swings and systematic risk. Fundamental metrics reveal negative operating and profit margins, a substantial debt load relative to equity, and a modest cash cushion, all of which constrain financial flexibility. The forward price‑to‑earnings multiple remains elevated, reflecting market expectations that are not yet supported by current earnings. Despite a modest forward earnings outlook, the company’s brand equity and licensing franchise provide a potential catalyst for longer‑term upside if execution improves. However, the combination of high leverage, cash burn, and a bearish technical backdrop suggests caution for near‑term investors. The overall picture is one of a stock that is overvalued on a earnings basis, exposed to significant market and sector volatility, and facing structural challenges that must be addressed before a sustainable rally can materialize.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • price below key moving averages
  • bearish trend with decreasing volume
  • proximity to near‑term support level

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • elevated valuation relative to earnings
  • heavy debt load limiting operational flexibility
  • potential upside toward analyst target price

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • brand and licensing franchise provide strategic value
  • ongoing cash burn and high volatility
  • uncertain execution of growth initiatives

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth4.70%
Profit Margin-6.21%
P/E Ratio36.0
ROE-37.16%
ROA-0.86%
Debt/Equity522.22
P/B Ratio5.0
Op. Cash Flow$-419000
Free Cash Flow$2.6M

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI51.7
Support$1.18
Resistance$1.48
MA 20$1.33
MA 50$1.54
MA 200$1.67
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Target Price$2.83
Upside/Downside96.76%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta1.61
Volatility71.20%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.