PLBY:NASDAQPlayboy, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-24 - not real-time
$1.83
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
The stock is trading at $1.83, comfortably above the computed support of $1.43 but still below the $1.96 resistance level. A bullish MACD histogram (+0.035) and an RSI of 58 suggest modest momentum without overbought conditions. Volume is on an increasing trend, providing liquidity support for short‑term moves. However, the 30‑day volatility of nearly 57% and a beta above 2 indicate the price can swing sharply on market sentiment.
Fundamentally, PLBY reports $121 M in revenue with only 4% growth and a gross margin of 71%, yet operating margins are essentially flat and net profit margin is –10%. The company carries a staggering debt‑to‑equity ratio above 1,000, dwarfing its $38 M cash balance and resulting in a negative ROE. Forward earnings are projected positive, yielding a forward P/E near 11, but the current lack of earnings and negative free cash flow raise sustainability concerns. The brand’s licensing model offers upside, reflected in a 59% upside/downside estimate and analyst price targets around $3. No dividend is paid, so income‑oriented investors have no yield to rely on. The consumer‑cyclical leisure sector is sensitive to discretionary spending, adding a medium‑high sector risk. Overall, the combination of high valuation multiples (P/B ~11) and substantial balance‑sheet leverage suggests the stock is at best fairly valued and carries elevated risk. Investors should weigh the branding potential against the financial headwinds before taking a position.
Fundamentally, PLBY reports $121 M in revenue with only 4% growth and a gross margin of 71%, yet operating margins are essentially flat and net profit margin is –10%. The company carries a staggering debt‑to‑equity ratio above 1,000, dwarfing its $38 M cash balance and resulting in a negative ROE. Forward earnings are projected positive, yielding a forward P/E near 11, but the current lack of earnings and negative free cash flow raise sustainability concerns. The brand’s licensing model offers upside, reflected in a 59% upside/downside estimate and analyst price targets around $3. No dividend is paid, so income‑oriented investors have no yield to rely on. The consumer‑cyclical leisure sector is sensitive to discretionary spending, adding a medium‑high sector risk. Overall, the combination of high valuation multiples (P/B ~11) and substantial balance‑sheet leverage suggests the stock is at best fairly valued and carries elevated risk. Investors should weigh the branding potential against the financial headwinds before taking a position.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD with increasing volume
- Price above support but below resistance
- High short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- 59% upside potential and $3 price target
- Forward P/E ~11 suggests earnings recovery
- Brand licensing model offers growth avenues
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Debt‑to‑equity >1000% creates balance‑sheet risk
- Negative earnings and cash flow persist
- Consumer‑cyclical sector sensitivity to economic downturns
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth4.20%
Profit Margin-10.48%
P/E Ratio11.4
ROE-74.35%
ROA-1.29%
Debt/Equity1080.78
P/B Ratio11.2
Op. Cash Flow$18.0K
Free Cash Flow$8.1M
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI58.4
Support$1.43
Resistance$1.96
MA 20$1.66
MA 50$1.78
MA 200$1.72
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.02
Valuation
Target Price$2.92
Upside/Downside59.38%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta1.98
Volatility56.98%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.