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PLAY:NASDAQDave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-24 - not real-time

$12.33

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

The stock is trading well below its short‑term and medium‑term moving averages, signalling a prevailing bearish bias. Momentum indicators are mixed: the MACD histogram is positive, hinting at a tentative bullish reversal, while the RSI hovers just under the neutral midpoint. Volume has been trending down, and the 30‑day price swings remain extremely high, underscoring a volatile trading environment. The beta reading places the stock far above market volatility, amplifying systematic risk. Sentiment metrics show extreme greed, suggesting that speculative enthusiasm may be inflating short‑term demand. Fundamentally, the company posted a net loss, carries a massive debt load relative to cash, and its return on equity is deeply negative. Yet revenue has been relatively flat and the price‑to‑sales multiple is modest, offering a degree of valuation cushion.
Management is emphasizing international expansion and new venue concepts to reignite growth, a narrative reinforced by the CEO’s confidence in generating free cash flow. Recent quarterly results missed top‑line expectations but delivered a loss narrower than consensus, providing a slight earnings tailwind. Analyst coverage is limited and lacks a consensus rating, reflecting uncertainty around the turnaround prospects. The technical support level near the low‑52‑week range and resistance near the mid‑range suggest the price could swing sharply on any catalyst. The upside estimate exceeds fifty percent while downside risk remains sizable, aligning with the high overall risk score. Given the combination of high leverage, volatile price action, and growth‑focused initiatives, the stock sits at a crossroads between speculative upside and fundamental weakness. Investors should weigh the potential of expansion against the heavy debt burden and erratic market behavior.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • price below key moving averages
  • high volatility and beta
  • mixed technical signals

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • international expansion and new venue rollout
  • moderate upside potential versus current valuation
  • CEO confidence in future free cash flow

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • substantial debt burden
  • cyclical nature of entertainment spending
  • brand positioning with diversified revenue streams

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-0.90%
Profit Margin-2.32%
P/E Ratio130.5
ROE-41.10%
ROA1.90%
Debt/Equity3909.32
P/B Ratio4.7
Op. Cash Flow$290.8M
Free Cash Flow$-133712496
Industry P/E18.7

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI44.1
Support$9.61
Resistance$15.02
MA 20$12.61
MA 50$13.46
MA 200$18.76
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.02

Valuation

Target Price$18.88
Upside/Downside53.08%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta2.16
Volatility92.65%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.