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PKW:NASDAQInvesco BuyBack Achievers ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-05 - not real-time

$138.93

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

PKW is trading at $138.93, just below its calculated resistance of $139.22 and comfortably above the 20‑day SMA of $136.23, indicating a bullish price trajectory. The 14‑day RSI of 61 and a bullish MACD histogram reinforce the upward momentum, while the 30‑day volatility of roughly 11.5% remains moderate. With a beta of 0.81, the ETF exhibits lower systematic risk than the broader market, and its maximum drawdown of about 8% suggests manageable downside risk. The fund’s expense ratio of 0.62% is in line with peer mid‑cap value ETFs, and a near‑zero tracking error eliminates concerns about deviation from its benchmark.
Liquidity appears mixed; recent daily volume (~13.5k) trails the 10‑day average of 22k, pointing to a medium liquidity risk, but the ETF’s diversified buyback‑focused mandate mitigates sector concentration risk, which we assess as medium. The extreme greed sentiment in the market adds a bullish flavor, but investors should watch for a potential short‑term pullback near resistance and consider the modest 2% YTD return in the context of a 0.91% dividend yield.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish technical indicators (RSI, MACD, SMA alignment)
  • Price approaching resistance with decreasing volume
  • Low systematic risk (beta < 1) but medium liquidity

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Exposure to U.S. companies with strong share‑repurchase programs
  • Low tracking error and modest expense ratio
  • Stable dividend yield and historical 3‑year return ~18.6%

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Consistent buyback‑driven capital appreciation potential
  • Lower beta indicating resilience in market downturns
  • Long‑term earnings growth supported by shareholder‑return focus

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.62%
AUM$1.6B
Inception Date2006-12-20
Avg Daily Volume22,320
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield0.91%

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI61.1
Support$133.45
Resistance$139.22
MA 20$136.23
MA 50$136.05
MA 200$134.07
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.39

Risk Assessment

Beta0.81
Volatility11.48%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.