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PKOH:NASDAQPark-Ohio Holdings Corp. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-26 - not real-time

$33.05

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Park-Ohio Holdings (PKOH) is trading just below its recent resistance of $33.33, with the price sitting above both the 20‑day (≈$30.10) and 50‑day (≈$27.21) SMAs, indicating a short‑term bullish bias. The RSI sits near 69, suggesting the stock is approaching overbought territory, while the MACD line remains above its signal line, reinforcing the bullish momentum despite a recent dip in volume. Fundamentally, the company posted a 3.8% YoY revenue increase to $421 M in Q1 2026 and projects FY revenue near $1.69 B, aligning with consensus estimates. However, earnings per share fell short of expectations, though management has guided adjusted FY EPS to $2.90‑$3.20, implying upside potential.
Valuation metrics show PKOH trading at a forward PE of ~9.7 versus an industry average PE of ~30, and a price‑to‑book of 1.2, positioning the stock as materially undervalued. The dividend yield of 1.6% with a modest payout ratio (~28%) appears sustainable given positive free cash flow, though the balance sheet is leveraged (debt‑to‑equity >180%). Overall, the technical setup is bullish but tempered by high volatility (≈52% 30‑day) and a beta of 1.5, suggesting heightened market sensitivity.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near resistance with bullish SMA and MACD alignment
  • High RSI indicating potential short‑term pullback
  • Decreasing volume suggesting waning momentum

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued relative to industry PE and forward PE
  • Guidance toward higher adjusted EPS ($2.90‑$3.20)
  • Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strategic position in diversified supply‑chain services across multiple geographies
  • Long‑term growth prospects from industrial automation and OEM demand
  • Attractive valuation cushion despite elevated leverage

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth3.80%
Profit Margin1.46%
P/E Ratio18.9
ROE5.74%
ROA3.95%
Debt/Equity181.44
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash Flow$43.6M
Free Cash Flow$15.2M
Industry P/E30.1

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI68.8
Support$26.84
Resistance$33.33
MA 20$30.10
MA 50$27.21
MA 200$23.24
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.09

Valuation

Target Price$37.00
Upside/Downside11.95%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.60%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.52
Volatility52.37%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.