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PKO:GPWPKO Bank Polski SA Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-12 - not real-time

$34.10

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Park‑Ohio (PKOH) is trading at $34.1, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of 32.0 and well above the 50‑day (29.35) and 200‑day (24.07) averages, signaling a bullish medium‑term trend. The RSI sits at 63, indicating momentum but still below overbought levels, while the MACD histogram has turned slightly negative, hinting at short‑term caution near the resistance of $35.01. Volatility is elevated at over 40 % for the past 30 days and beta is high at 1.54, reflecting a stock that moves strongly with market swings. Fundamentals show a forward PE of 9.9 versus an industry average of 30.4, a modest revenue growth of 3.8 %, and a dividend yield of 1.47 % with a low payout ratio of 28 %, suggesting earnings are still being retained. The balance sheet is leveraged (debt‑to‑equity ≈ 181 %), yet operating cash flow remains positive, and the upside potential is estimated at 15.8 % above the current price. Recent earnings beat and management’s confidence in growing end‑market demand, especially from infrastructure spending, provide a catalyst that supports the current bullish bias.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price above key moving averages (20‑, 50‑, 200‑day SMA)
  • Recent earnings beat and positive management outlook
  • Support level at $28.59 offering downside cushion

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Forward PE of 9.9 versus industry PE of 30.4 indicating value
  • Upside potential of ~15.8 % and strong infrastructure demand
  • Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • High leverage (debt‑to‑equity ~181) may limit flexibility
  • Cyclical industrial exposure could dampen growth in downturns
  • Diversified global footprint and modest dividend provide stability

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth3.80%
Profit Margin1.46%
P/E Ratio19.5
ROE5.74%
ROA3.95%
Debt/Equity181.44
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash Flow$43.6M
Free Cash Flow$15.2M
Industry P/E30.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI63.3
Support$28.59
Resistance$35.01
MA 20$32.02
MA 50$29.35
MA 200$24.07
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index86.71

Valuation

Target Price$39.50
Upside/Downside15.84%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.47%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.54
Volatility40.10%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.