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PKE:NYSEPark Aerospace Corp. analysis

Data as of May 25, 2026 - not real-time

Latest price
$34.60
Risk: medium
7/10Medium risk

Summary

Park Aerospace (PKE) is trading at $34.6, just below the technical resistance of $35.30 and comfortably above the 20‑day SMA of $33.74, indicating a short‑term bullish bias despite a bearish MACD histogram. Volume is increasing and the 30‑day volatility is high at ~42%, suggesting active trading and price swings. The RSI of 57 points to neutral momentum, while the broader trend remains bullish as the 20‑day SMA sits above both the 50‑day ($31.50) and 200‑day ($23.84) averages. Fundamentally, revenue grew 20% YoY to $66 M with solid margins (gross 31%, operating 21%) and a strong cash position of $63.5 M against minimal debt ($0.3 M). However, the stock’s valuation is extreme: a trailing P/E of 80 versus an industry average of 30, a price‑to‑book of 6.5, and a DCF‑derived fair value of only $6.20. The dividend yield of 1.45% is undermined by a payout ratio above 100%, raising sustainability concerns. The company’s beta of 1.37 and high volatility amplify market risk, while its exposure to North America, Asia, and Europe moderates geographic concentration. Overall, the market appears to price PKE far beyond its intrinsic fundamentals, creating a mismatch between price momentum and underlying value.

Market outlook

Short term

< 1 year

Neutral

Model confidence6/106 out of 10

Key factors

  • Price near technical resistance at $35.30
  • Bearish MACD divergence despite bullish SMA alignment
  • Extreme valuation metrics (P/E 80, DCF $6.20)

Medium term

1–3 years

Neutral

Model confidence5/105 out of 10

Key factors

  • Strong revenue growth (20% YoY) and solid cash balance
  • Persistent overvaluation relative to industry peers
  • High volatility and beta indicating price sensitivity

Long term

> 3 years

Cautious

Model confidence7/107 out of 10

Key factors

  • Fundamental valuation gap (DCF fair value $6.20 vs market $34.6)
  • Unsustainable dividend payout (>100% of earnings)
  • Elevated market risk from beta and 30‑day volatility

Key metrics

Financial health

Revenue Growth20.30%
Profit Margin13.14%
P/E Ratio80.5
ROE8.11%
ROA6.08%
Debt/Equity0.31
P/B Ratio6.5
Op. Cash Flow$5.5M
Free Cash Flow$2.0M
Industry P/E29.7

Technical analysis

TrendBullish
RSI57.6
Support$31.70
Resistance$35.30
MA 20$33.74
MA 50$31.50
MA 200$23.84
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.64

Valuation

Fair Value$6.21
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield1.45%

Risk assessment

Beta1.37
Volatility41.94%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.