PK:NYSEPark Hotels & Resorts Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time
$11.09
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Park Hotels & Resorts (PK) is trading at $11.09, just above its 20‑day SMA of $11.15 and comfortably above the 200‑day SMA of $11.02, indicating a neutral price stance. The stock offers an eye‑catching 9.02% dividend yield with a very low payout ratio of 5.4%, suggesting dividend sustainability despite recent losses. Valuation metrics show a forward P/E of 21.96x versus an industry average of 32.09x, and a price‑to‑book of 0.72x, implying relative cheapness. Technical signals are mixed: RSI sits at 50.5 (neutral), MACD is bearish, and volume is increasing, while volatility remains high at 31% over the past 30 days.
The latest Q1 2026 earnings highlighted a 5.5% YoY RevPAR increase and an adjusted EBITDA outlook of $587‑$617 million, prompting analysts to maintain a “hold” consensus but with a median price target of $12.12 (≈9% upside). However, the company carries a heavy debt load (Debt/Equity ≈ 133%) and posted a negative profit margin (‑8.5%) and ROE (‑6.4%). Strong operating cash flow ($371 M) and free cash flow ($1.04 B) underpin the generous dividend, but the recent Barclays downgrade to equal‑weight signals lingering concerns about earnings sustainability and leverage.
The latest Q1 2026 earnings highlighted a 5.5% YoY RevPAR increase and an adjusted EBITDA outlook of $587‑$617 million, prompting analysts to maintain a “hold” consensus but with a median price target of $12.12 (≈9% upside). However, the company carries a heavy debt load (Debt/Equity ≈ 133%) and posted a negative profit margin (‑8.5%) and ROE (‑6.4%). Strong operating cash flow ($371 M) and free cash flow ($1.04 B) underpin the generous dividend, but the recent Barclays downgrade to equal‑weight signals lingering concerns about earnings sustainability and leverage.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD and neutral trend suggest limited upside
- High dividend yield provides income buffer
- Recent analyst downgrade adds downside pressure
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Improving RevPAR and EBITDA guidance
- Analyst median price target implies ~9% upside
- Strong free cash flow supports dividend sustainability
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Elevated leverage could constrain future growth
- Consistent high dividend yield offsets earnings volatility
- Hotel REIT exposure to cyclical travel demand
Key Metrics & Analysis
REIT Metrics
P/FFO6.019145142857143
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI50.5
Support$10.70
Resistance$11.84
MA 20$11.15
MA 50$10.89
MA 200$11.02
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.21
Risk Assessment
Beta1.20
Volatility31.34%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.