PK:NYSEPark Hotels & Resorts Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-16 - not real-time
$14.55
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The stock is trading at $14.55, comfortably above its 20‑day ($14.39), 50‑day ($13.13) and 200‑day ($11.47) simple moving averages, underscoring a bullish technical backdrop. An RSI of 61 indicates momentum is still on the upside without being overbought. Although the MACD histogram is negative, the overall trend direction is flagged as bullish, and price sits just below the identified resistance at $14.95. Support at $13.66 provides a cushion against short‑term pullbacks. The 30‑day volatility of roughly 27% and a beta near 1 suggest price swings are in line with the broader market. The Fear & Greed Index at 92.43 signals extreme greed, reflecting strong investor sentiment.
Fundamentally, PK delivers a robust dividend yield of 6.87% with an unusually low payout ratio of just 5.4%, indicating ample coverage by cash flow. Free cash flow of $1.04 bn far exceeds operating cash flow and comfortably services the $4.04 bn debt load, though the debt‑to‑equity ratio of 133% remains a leverage caution. Net profit margins are negative (‑8.5%), and trailing EPS is –$1.10, which explains the zero trailing P/E, yet EBITDA of $569 m and a positive operating margin (11%) point to underlying earnings strength. The DCF‑derived fair value of $47.83 suggests the market is already pricing in most upside, with a negligible –0.8% downside from current levels. Analyst sentiment has turned more favorable: BMO lifted its price target to $14 and Morgan Stanley highlighted the stock among the “best under $15,” while the Q1 2026 earnings call reported better‑than‑expected results. With the upcoming Q2 earnings call, the combination of a high‑yield dividend, solid cash generation, and improving analyst outlook supports a cautiously optimistic positioning.
Fundamentally, PK delivers a robust dividend yield of 6.87% with an unusually low payout ratio of just 5.4%, indicating ample coverage by cash flow. Free cash flow of $1.04 bn far exceeds operating cash flow and comfortably services the $4.04 bn debt load, though the debt‑to‑equity ratio of 133% remains a leverage caution. Net profit margins are negative (‑8.5%), and trailing EPS is –$1.10, which explains the zero trailing P/E, yet EBITDA of $569 m and a positive operating margin (11%) point to underlying earnings strength. The DCF‑derived fair value of $47.83 suggests the market is already pricing in most upside, with a negligible –0.8% downside from current levels. Analyst sentiment has turned more favorable: BMO lifted its price target to $14 and Morgan Stanley highlighted the stock among the “best under $15,” while the Q1 2026 earnings call reported better‑than‑expected results. With the upcoming Q2 earnings call, the combination of a high‑yield dividend, solid cash generation, and improving analyst outlook supports a cautiously optimistic positioning.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- price near resistance with bearish MACD histogram
- decreasing volume suggests short‑term caution
- high dividend yield provides downside protection
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- analyst upgrades and target price alignment
- strong free cash flow supports dividend sustainability
- improving earnings momentum from Q1 2026
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- elevated leverage limits upside potential
- DCF fair value indicates limited near‑term upside
- long‑term REIT fundamentals and high‑quality asset base
Key Metrics & Analysis
REIT Metrics
P/FFO7.897074889487871
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI61.1
Support$13.66
Resistance$14.95
MA 20$14.39
MA 50$13.13
MA 200$11.47
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.43
Risk Assessment
Beta0.97
Volatility26.98%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.