PIRC:MILPirelli & C. S.p.A. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-12 - not real-time
€6.31
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Pirelli delivered a resilient first‑quarter performance, posting stronger‑than‑expected earnings, an improving adjusted EBIT margin and a noticeable rise in net profit despite a challenging macro environment. The results were driven by solid organic growth in key regions and a premium pricing strategy that lifted profitability. On the technical side, the stock is trading above its short‑term moving averages, the MACD line sits comfortably above its signal, and volume has been on an upward trajectory, all pointing to a bullish bias. The RSI sits in the upper‑mid range, suggesting momentum without being overbought, while the price remains comfortably above the identified support level and below the nearest resistance. Coupled with a dividend yield that remains attractive and a payout ratio well within sustainable limits, the equity presents a compelling short‑term profile.
Valuation metrics indicate that the market price trails the fair value derived from discounted cash‑flow analysis, implying an upside potential that aligns with the “Extreme Greed” sentiment reflected in market sentiment gauges. The company’s strong cash generation, modest leverage and a diversified global footprint mitigate many of the traditional cyclicality concerns of the auto‑parts sector. These fundamentals, together with a stable dividend and a strategic focus on high‑growth segments such as electric‑vehicle tires, support a positive outlook across medium and long horizons.
Valuation metrics indicate that the market price trails the fair value derived from discounted cash‑flow analysis, implying an upside potential that aligns with the “Extreme Greed” sentiment reflected in market sentiment gauges. The company’s strong cash generation, modest leverage and a diversified global footprint mitigate many of the traditional cyclicality concerns of the auto‑parts sector. These fundamentals, together with a stable dividend and a strategic focus on high‑growth segments such as electric‑vehicle tires, support a positive outlook across medium and long horizons.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bullish technical indicators with price above short‑term averages
- Recent earnings beat and margin expansion
- Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued relative to intrinsic fair value
- Strong cash flow generation and manageable debt profile
- Growth opportunities in premium and electric‑vehicle tire segments
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Brand strength and global distribution network
- Sustainable dividend policy supporting shareholder returns
- Long‑term secular demand from automotive electrification and high‑performance tires
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-2.60%
Profit Margin7.45%
P/E Ratio12.4
ROE8.71%
ROA4.22%
Debt/Equity46.62
P/B Ratio1.0
Op. Cash Flow€1.3B
Free Cash Flow€764.8M
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI59.8
Support€5.31
Resistance€6.38
MA 20€6.13
MA 50€6.08
MA 200€6.06
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Fair Value€7.31
Target Price€7.06
Upside/Downside11.97%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.89%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.20
Volatility24.13%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.