PIRC:MILPirelli & C. S.p.A. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-18 - not real-time
€6.41
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Pirelli shares are trading at €6.41, comfortably above the 20‑day SMA of €6.215 and the 50‑day SMA of €6.109, indicating a short‑term bullish bias. The 14‑day RSI sits at 61, well below overbought levels, suggesting room for further upside. MACD shows a bullish divergence with the line at 0.084 above the signal at 0.054, reinforcing momentum. Volume is increasing, supporting the price advance toward the resistance of €6.68. The stock’s volatility over the past 30 days is 21.7%, which is moderate for a consumer‑cyclical name. Importantly, the latest Q1 FY2026 earnings beat expectations, delivering 3.5% organic revenue growth and a 23% rise in net profit, with an adjusted EBIT margin of 16%.
The DCF‑derived fair value of €7.26 implies roughly a 10% upside from current levels, while the PE of 12.6 and PB of 1.06 are modest relative to peers. With a low computed beta of 0.18, the stock exhibits limited market‑wide risk, though sector exposure adds a medium level of cyclicality risk. Pirelli’s balance sheet shows €1.01 bn of cash against €3.20 bn of debt, yielding a debt‑to‑equity of 46.6%, a manageable leverage profile given strong operating cash flow of €1.28 bn. The company’s free cash flow of €0.76 bn and ROE of 8.7% underline solid cash generation. No dividend is paid, so income‑focused investors should not count on yield, but the reinvested earnings support growth initiatives such as EV‑specific tire lines. Overall, the confluence of technical strength, earnings momentum, and valuation upside supports a positive outlook.
The DCF‑derived fair value of €7.26 implies roughly a 10% upside from current levels, while the PE of 12.6 and PB of 1.06 are modest relative to peers. With a low computed beta of 0.18, the stock exhibits limited market‑wide risk, though sector exposure adds a medium level of cyclicality risk. Pirelli’s balance sheet shows €1.01 bn of cash against €3.20 bn of debt, yielding a debt‑to‑equity of 46.6%, a manageable leverage profile given strong operating cash flow of €1.28 bn. The company’s free cash flow of €0.76 bn and ROE of 8.7% underline solid cash generation. No dividend is paid, so income‑focused investors should not count on yield, but the reinvested earnings support growth initiatives such as EV‑specific tire lines. Overall, the confluence of technical strength, earnings momentum, and valuation upside supports a positive outlook.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Bullish technicals (SMA above price, MACD bullish)
- Positive Q1 earnings beat with margin expansion
- DCF upside of ~10% indicating undervaluation
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Sustainable cash flow and moderate leverage
- Diversified geographic exposure balancing growth and risk
- Continued brand strength and EV‑tire product rollout
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strong brand and market position in premium tire segment
- Long‑term growth tailwinds from electric‑vehicle tire demand
- Solid free cash flow supporting reinvestment and resilience
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-2.60%
Profit Margin7.45%
P/E Ratio12.6
ROE8.71%
ROA4.22%
Debt/Equity46.62
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash Flow€1.3B
Free Cash Flow€764.8M
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI61.3
Support€5.31
Resistance€6.68
MA 20€6.21
MA 50€6.11
MA 200€6.07
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.14
Valuation
Fair Value€7.26
Target Price€7.06
Upside/Downside10.14%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta0.18
Volatility21.69%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.