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PINFRA:BMVPromotora y Operadora de Infraestructura SA Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-24 - not real-time

MX$277.18

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura (PINFRA) trades at a **price of MXN 277.18**, delivering a **PE ratio of 7.8×**, far below the industry average of 29.7×, and a **price‑to‑book of 1.66×**. The stock benefits from robust profitability—**gross margin 55.9%**, **operating margin 53.9%**, and a **profit margin of 72.9%**—and a strong balance sheet with **cash of MXN 39.6 bn** dwarfing its **debt of MXN 10.9 bn**, resulting in a net‑cash position that supports a **2.66% dividend yield** and a modest **payout ratio of 14%**. Technical indicators show a bullish long‑term trend (price above the 200‑day SMA) but short‑term pressure, as the price sits just above the **support level of MXN 274.14**, the 14‑day RSI is neutral at 42.9, and the MACD signals bearish momentum with decreasing volume**. Recent headlines flag **delays in toll‑road tariff hikes** and a **near‑60% earnings drop**, adding near‑term headwinds, yet analysts maintain a **Buy** stance with a median target of **MXN 318**, implying about **12.7% upside**. Overall, the company’s deep cash reserves, low beta (**0.30**), and attractive valuation suggest the stock is **significantly undervalued** and positioned for a recovery once operational and regulatory issues ease.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Recent earnings decline of ~60%
  • Tariff‑rate increase delays affecting near‑term cash flow
  • Bearish MACD and decreasing volume near support

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Significant valuation gap (PE 7.8× vs industry 29.7×)
  • Strong cash generation and low payout supporting dividend sustainability
  • Analyst consensus Buy with median price target indicating ~12% upside

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • High ROE (22.8%) and consistent free cash flow
  • Low beta (0.30) indicating defensive stock characteristics
  • Long‑term infrastructure demand and attractive dividend yield

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth18.40%
Profit Margin72.91%
P/E Ratio7.8
ROE22.81%
ROA15.92%
Debt/Equity13.53
P/B Ratio1.7
Op. Cash FlowMX$20.2B
Free Cash FlowMX$12.6B
Industry P/E29.7

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI42.9
SupportMX$274.14
ResistanceMX$317.99
MA 20MX$285.76
MA 50MX$284.42
MA 200MX$263.11
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61

Valuation

Fair ValueMX$1,008.35
Target PriceMX$312.44
Upside/Downside12.72%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.66%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.30
Volatility25.13%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.