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PINFRA:BMVPromotora y Operadora de Infraestructura SA Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time

MX$201.90

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura (PINFRA) trades at MXN 201.9, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA (199.3) but below the 200‑day SMA (189.5), indicating a neutral technical stance. Fundamentally, the stock looks deeply undervalued with a trailing P/E of 5.3 versus an industry average of 29.1, a P/B of 1.25 and a DCF‑derived fair value of over MXN 1,000. Strong profitability metrics – gross margin 57.8%, operating margin 57.1% and net profit margin 73% – translate into ROE of 22.7% and ROA of 16.1%, underscoring efficient asset use. The balance sheet is robust: MXN 39.5 bn in cash versus MXN 11.1 bn of debt, yielding a net‑cash position despite a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 14.2. Dividend sustainability is solid with a 3.85% yield, a modest payout ratio of 20% and ample operating cash flow (MXN 14.1 bn). Technical indicators show a bullish MACD histogram (+0.24) and increasing volume, while volatility remains high at 36% and beta is low (≈0.12), suggesting price swings but limited market‑wide risk. Recent news highlighting the company’s cash‑flow statement reinforces the picture of abundant liquidity and cash generation.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near resistance at MXN 205 with neutral trend
  • High 30‑day volatility (36%) may cause short‑term swings
  • Increasing volume supports current price stability

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Substantial valuation gap (P/E 5.3 vs industry 29.1)
  • Strong cash generation and net‑cash position
  • Attractive dividend yield (3.85%) with low payout ratio

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑duration infrastructure concessions provide stable revenue
  • Consistently high profitability and return ratios (ROE 22.7%, ROA 16.1%)
  • Low beta (≈0.12) suggests limited systematic risk over time

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth10.00%
Profit Margin73.05%
P/E Ratio5.3
ROE22.68%
ROA16.14%
Debt/Equity14.19
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash FlowMX$14.1B
Free Cash FlowMX$22.3B
Industry P/E29.1

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI52.4
SupportMX$190.00
ResistanceMX$205.00
MA 20MX$199.31
MA 50MX$201.52
MA 200MX$189.52
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair ValueMX$1,004.16
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.85%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.12
Volatility36.35%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.