PI:NASDAQImpinj, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-24 - not real-time
$123.91
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Impinj (PI) trades at $123.9, well above its 20‑day (≈$108) and 50‑day (≈$108) simple moving averages but still below the 200‑day average (≈$154), indicating a short‑term bullish bias within a longer‑term bearish framework. The RSI of 68 signals near‑overbought conditions, while a bullish MACD histogram (+$2.65) suggests upward momentum may persist in the near term. Volume is accelerating, and the price is flirting with the identified resistance around $126.5, making a breakout possible but also raising the risk of a pullback to the support near $95. Fundamentals remain weak – operating margins are negative, ROE is below zero, and the DCF fair value (~$14) is dramatically lower than the market price, flagging a substantial valuation gap. Nonetheless, forward EPS forecasts turn positive (~$3.12) and analysts maintain a “buy” consensus with a median target near $172, implying an upside of roughly 30% if the turnaround materializes. The market sentiment is extremely bullish (Fear‑Greed Index 88), but the stock’s high beta (≈2.0) and 30‑day volatility (≈42%) underscore considerable risk.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price approaching resistance with high RSI
- Bearish long‑term trend despite bullish MACD
- Elevated volatility and beta increasing downside risk
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Forward EPS turning positive and analyst buy consensus
- Increasing volume supporting momentum
- Potential upside of ~30% relative to current price
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Fundamental gaps: negative margins and low DCF valuation
- Industry tailwinds in RFID and IoT applications
- High beta and volatility may dampen long‑term returns
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth1.40%
Profit Margin-3.00%
P/E Ratio39.8
ROE-6.04%
ROA-0.09%
Debt/Equity145.39
P/B Ratio17.9
Op. Cash Flow$58.7M
Free Cash Flow$38.8M
Industry P/E38.1
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI68.4
Support$94.89
Resistance$126.50
MA 20$107.81
MA 50$108.44
MA 200$153.88
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.02
Valuation
Fair Value$14.06
Target Price$163.88
Upside/Downside32.25%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta2.05
Volatility42.20%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.