PHVS:NASDAQPharvaris N.V. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time
$28.94
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Pharvaris (PHVS) is trading at $28.94, barely above its 20‑day SMA of $29.80 and well below the 200‑day SMA of $25.53, indicating a bullish bias despite a modestly neutral RSI of 47.4. The MACD histogram is negative (-0.19) with a bearish signal, yet the overall trend direction is marked as bullish and the Fear & Greed Index sits at an Extreme Greed 89.05, suggesting strong market optimism. Volume is decreasing, volatility is high at 57% over 30 days, and beta is slightly above market at 1.06, pointing to a stock that can swing sharply on news. The upside/downside projection of ~60% upside versus ~20% downside, combined with a strong‑buy consensus from 13 analysts, underscores significant upside potential if upcoming Phase 3 data for deucrictibant XR materializes as expected.
Fundamentally, the company is cash‑rich ($247 M) with minimal debt ($0.74 M) but is burning cash (operating cash flow -$147 M) and posting negative earnings (trailing EPS -$3.16, forward EPS -$2.75) resulting in a negative PE and ROE. The price‑to‑book ratio of 5.93 is elevated for a biotech without revenue, highlighting valuation risk, while the lack of dividend makes income sustainability irrelevant.
Fundamentally, the company is cash‑rich ($247 M) with minimal debt ($0.74 M) but is burning cash (operating cash flow -$147 M) and posting negative earnings (trailing EPS -$3.16, forward EPS -$2.75) resulting in a negative PE and ROE. The price‑to‑book ratio of 5.93 is elevated for a biotech without revenue, highlighting valuation risk, while the lack of dividend makes income sustainability irrelevant.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Support near $26.69 and bullish trend direction
- Upcoming Phase 3 readout in Q3 2026
- Extreme Greed sentiment indicating buying pressure
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Potential FDA approval of deucrictibant XR
- Strong analyst consensus (strong_buy) and high upside estimate
- Robust cash balance offsetting near‑term cash burn
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term growth opportunity in rare‑disease market
- Pipeline diversification beyond HAE
- Strategic positioning in a high‑margin biotech niche
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
P/E Ratio-10.5
ROE-73.02%
ROA-42.31%
Debt/Equity0.31
P/B Ratio5.9
Op. Cash Flow$-147367984
Free Cash Flow$-88446032
Industry P/E27.2
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI47.4
Support$26.69
Resistance$33.33
MA 20$29.80
MA 50$28.35
MA 200$25.53
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.05
Valuation
Target Price$46.26
Upside/Downside59.86%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta1.06
Volatility57.15%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.