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PHVS:NASDAQPharvaris N.V. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time

$28.94

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Pharvaris (PHVS) is trading at $28.94, barely above its 20‑day SMA of $29.80 and well below the 200‑day SMA of $25.53, indicating a bullish bias despite a modestly neutral RSI of 47.4. The MACD histogram is negative (-0.19) with a bearish signal, yet the overall trend direction is marked as bullish and the Fear & Greed Index sits at an Extreme Greed 89.05, suggesting strong market optimism. Volume is decreasing, volatility is high at 57% over 30 days, and beta is slightly above market at 1.06, pointing to a stock that can swing sharply on news. The upside/downside projection of ~60% upside versus ~20% downside, combined with a strong‑buy consensus from 13 analysts, underscores significant upside potential if upcoming Phase 3 data for deucrictibant XR materializes as expected.
Fundamentally, the company is cash‑rich ($247 M) with minimal debt ($0.74 M) but is burning cash (operating cash flow -$147 M) and posting negative earnings (trailing EPS -$3.16, forward EPS -$2.75) resulting in a negative PE and ROE. The price‑to‑book ratio of 5.93 is elevated for a biotech without revenue, highlighting valuation risk, while the lack of dividend makes income sustainability irrelevant.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Support near $26.69 and bullish trend direction
  • Upcoming Phase 3 readout in Q3 2026
  • Extreme Greed sentiment indicating buying pressure

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Potential FDA approval of deucrictibant XR
  • Strong analyst consensus (strong_buy) and high upside estimate
  • Robust cash balance offsetting near‑term cash burn

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term growth opportunity in rare‑disease market
  • Pipeline diversification beyond HAE
  • Strategic positioning in a high‑margin biotech niche

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

P/E Ratio-10.5
ROE-73.02%
ROA-42.31%
Debt/Equity0.31
P/B Ratio5.9
Op. Cash Flow$-147367984
Free Cash Flow$-88446032
Industry P/E27.2

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI47.4
Support$26.69
Resistance$33.33
MA 20$29.80
MA 50$28.35
MA 200$25.53
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.05

Valuation

Target Price$46.26
Upside/Downside59.86%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.06
Volatility57.15%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.