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PHR:NYSEPhreesia, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-24 - not real-time

$9.54

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Phreesia, Inc. (PHR) trades at $9.54, sitting just above the 20‑day SMA of $9.09 but well below the 50‑day SMA ($10.72) and the 200‑day SMA ($19.23), underscoring a longer‑term bearish bias. The stock’s RSI of 47.8 suggests neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram is positive, hinting at a short‑term bullish tilt. However, volatility is extreme at 109% over the past 30 days and volume is on a decreasing trend, amplifying downside risk. Fundamentally, the company posts 16% revenue growth and a solid 68% gross margin, yet operating margins are razor‑thin (1.3%) and profit margin is under 0.5%, resulting in an astronomic trailing P/E of 238 versus an industry average of 25. Despite a DCF‑derived fair value of $23.36 and a 69% upside potential, the market remains skeptical, reflected in a recent downgrade to “hold” and multiple shareholder‑rights investigations.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish longer‑term trend (price below SMA50/200)
  • Decreasing volume and high 30‑day volatility
  • Uncertainty from ongoing shareholder litigation

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Significant upside to DCF fair value (~69%)
  • Positive free cash flow and low forward P/E (~5.5)
  • Revenue growth of ~16% and strong gross margins

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • AI‑enabled platform offering scalable workflow solutions
  • Potential to improve operating profitability
  • Resolution of legal risks could unlock substantial valuation upside

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth15.90%
Profit Margin0.48%
P/E Ratio238.5
ROE0.77%
ROA0.31%
Debt/Equity30.38
P/B Ratio1.7
Op. Cash Flow$78.8M
Free Cash Flow$55.7M
Industry P/E25.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI47.8
Support$7.77
Resistance$11.59
MA 20$9.09
MA 50$10.72
MA 200$19.23
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.02

Valuation

Fair Value$23.36
Target Price$16.17
Upside/Downside69.46%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta0.81
Volatility108.96%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.