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PHR:NYSEPhreesia, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-16 - not real-time

$10.76

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Phreesia, Inc. (PHR) trades at $10.76, comfortably above its 20‑day ($10.20) and 50‑day ($9.72) SMAs but still below the 200‑day SMA ($14.41), signaling short‑term strength within a longer‑term downtrend. The MACD line sits bullish at 0.38 versus its signal at 0.34 and the RSI is 58.9, suggesting modest momentum without overbought pressure. Forward earnings are projected to surge, driving the forward P/E to a compelling 6.7 versus a trailing P/E of 67, and a discounted cash‑flow model values the stock near $20, implying roughly 30% upside from today’s price. Revenue grew 13% YoY to $496 M with a solid 68% gross margin, yet profitability remains thin (operating margin 5.1%, net margin 1.9%) and debt ($92.6 M) exceeds cash ($74.7 M). Volatility is high at 52% over the past 30 days, but beta is only 0.38, indicating limited market‑wide swing risk; however, decreasing volume and a pending securities class‑action deadline (July 13, 2026) add a layer of litigation risk. Overall, the stock appears undervalued relative to its DCF fair value and analyst consensus (Buy), but investors should weigh the litigation exposure and near‑term price volatility before committing.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD and RSI indicating short‑term momentum
  • Current price near support with upside to $11.47 resistance
  • Potential upside from DCF valuation (~30%)

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Forward P/E of 6.7 reflecting strong earnings expectations
  • Revenue growth of ~13% and high gross margins
  • Strong free cash flow supporting operational flexibility

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Secular demand for digital health intake and AI‑driven workflows
  • Undervalued relative to DCF fair value and analyst price targets
  • Low beta and solid cash position offsetting high volatility

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth12.90%
Profit Margin1.85%
P/E Ratio67.3
ROE2.86%
ROA1.48%
Debt/Equity25.77
P/B Ratio1.9
Op. Cash Flow$87.9M
Free Cash Flow$56.4M
Industry P/E28.5

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI58.9
Support$8.90
Resistance$11.47
MA 20$10.20
MA 50$9.72
MA 200$14.41
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.45

Valuation

Fair Value$20.04
Target Price$13.94
Upside/Downside29.56%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta0.38
Volatility51.93%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.