PGNY:NASDAQProgyny, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-24 - not real-time
$18.17
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Progyny, Inc. (PGNY) trades at a **regular market price of $18.17**, well below its **DCF‑derived fair value of $49.92**, implying substantial upside. The stock shows a **forward P/E of 8.65** versus a trailing P/E of 27.95, reflecting strong earnings acceleration expectations. Fundamentals are solid: cash on hand exceeds debt, **free cash flow of $212.5 M**, and a **ROE of 12.5%**. Revenue is growing modestly at **6.7% YoY**, with gross margins around **23.6%** and operating margins near **7.2%**. Technicals are mixed; the price sits above the 20‑day SMA (**$17.32**) but below the 50‑day (**$18.25**) and 200‑day (**$21.98**) averages, and the **MACD histogram is positive**, suggesting short‑term bullish momentum despite an overall bearish trend. Volatility is high (**31% 30‑day**), yet the beta of **0.71** indicates lower systematic risk. The market sentiment is extremely optimistic, with a **Fear & Greed Index reading of 88 (Extreme Greed)**. Recent news includes a scheduled Q1 2026 earnings release and a commemorative announcement of a decade of service, both of which could catalyze investor interest. However, a pending securities‑fraud investigation announced in March 2024 adds a legal headwind. In summary, the stock appears **deeply undervalued** with strong cash generation, but investors must weigh the legal risk and high price volatility.
Given the sizeable valuation gap, improving earnings outlook, and supportive cash position, PGNY presents a compelling **buy** case for investors comfortable with short‑term uncertainty and the ongoing regulatory and legal environment.
Given the sizeable valuation gap, improving earnings outlook, and supportive cash position, PGNY presents a compelling **buy** case for investors comfortable with short‑term uncertainty and the ongoing regulatory and legal environment.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Positive MACD histogram indicating near‑term momentum
- Support level at $16.10 offering downside cushion
- Upcoming Q1 earnings release could validate growth narrative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- DCF fair value suggests >150% upside
- Forward P/E of 8.65 reflects strong earnings acceleration
- Robust cash generation and low leverage support sustainable growth
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Secular fertility and women’s health trends underpin long‑term demand
- High free cash flow and expanding service suite create durable competitive advantage
- Undervaluation relative to intrinsic worth offers significant long‑run appreciation potential
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth6.70%
Profit Margin4.54%
P/E Ratio28.0
ROE12.48%
ROA8.61%
Debt/Equity5.37
P/B Ratio2.9
Op. Cash Flow$210.2M
Free Cash Flow$212.5M
Industry P/E25.4
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI53.8
Support$16.10
Resistance$18.98
MA 20$17.32
MA 50$18.25
MA 200$21.98
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.02
Valuation
Fair Value$49.92
Target Price$27.45
Upside/Downside51.10%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta0.71
Volatility31.02%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.