PGNY:NASDAQProgyny, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time
$24.05
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Progyny, Inc. (PGNY) is trading at $24.05, roughly 19% below its DCF‑derived fair value of $37.77, suggesting a material upside potential. The stock benefits from a strong earnings backdrop – Q1 revenue topped $328.5 M, profit margins expanded to 5.2%, and free cash flow exceeds $200 M, while the balance sheet remains robust with $225 M in cash and modest debt of $27 M. Technicals show a bullish MACD crossover (MACD line > signal line) but an elevated RSI at 74 points to short‑term overbought conditions near the $24.39 resistance level. Analyst sentiment is highly positive, with a consensus “strong buy” rating from 11 analysts and a median price target of $30. Key catalysts include ongoing share repurchases (8.8 M shares bought back), a raised 2026 revenue outlook of $1.365‑$1.405 B, and an expanding client base despite the loss of a large customer. While the market exhibits high 30‑day volatility (≈70%) and a neutral trend, the underlying fundamentals—steady revenue growth, solid cash generation, low debt‑to‑equity, and a favorable industry PE relative to peers—support a longer‑run upside thesis.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- RSI in overbought territory (~74)
- Price approaching short‑term resistance at $24.39
- Increasing volume supporting potential consolidation
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Undervaluation relative to DCF fair value (+19% upside)
- Strong earnings momentum and raised 2026 guidance
- Aggressive share repurchase program enhancing EPS
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Sustainable cash flow and low leverage
- Expanding addressable market in fertility and women's health
- Consistently positive analyst consensus and high upside potential
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth1.40%
Profit Margin5.24%
P/E Ratio31.2
ROE14.94%
ROA9.12%
Debt/Equity6.21
P/B Ratio3.9
Op. Cash Flow$206.3M
Free Cash Flow$200.2M
Industry P/E26.9
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI73.9
Support$17.37
Resistance$24.39
MA 20$20.17
MA 50$18.56
MA 200$21.78
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.29
Valuation
Fair Value$37.77
Target Price$28.55
Upside/Downside18.69%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta0.69
Volatility70.00%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.