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PGNY:NASDAQProgyny, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-21 - not real-time

$26.08

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Progyny’s stock is trading comfortably above its 20‑day and 50‑day simple moving averages, indicating a short‑term bullish bias, while still respecting a clear support level near $24.28 and facing resistance around $27.36. The RSI sits in the upper‑mid 60s, suggesting continued momentum without being overbought, and the MACD histogram has turned negative, hinting at a potential short‑term pullback. Volatility over the past 30 days is elevated, yet the computed beta is below 1, reflecting relatively low market‑wide price swings. Fundamentally, the company appears undervalued relative to its discounted cash‑flow fair value of roughly $38, offering an upside of about 14%, and the forward PE of ~12 versus a trailing PE of ~34 underscores improving earnings expectations. A newly approved $200 million share repurchase program, funded by a strong cash balance and modest debt, adds a catalyst for price support. With solid operating margins, healthy cash flow generation, and a strategic position in the growing fertility and women’s health benefits market, the outlook remains positive across horizons.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Board‑approved $200 M share repurchase program providing immediate demand support
  • Price above short‑term moving averages and within a defined support‑resistance range
  • RSI indicating strength without overextension

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • DCF‑based upside of ~14% signaling undervaluation
  • Robust cash position and low leverage enabling continued investment
  • Secular growth in fertility and family‑building benefits driving revenue expansion

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term demographic trends supporting sustained demand for women’s health solutions
  • Consistent ROE and free cash flow generation indicating durable profitability
  • Share repurchase program enhancing total shareholder return over time

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth1.40%
Profit Margin5.24%
P/E Ratio33.9
ROE14.94%
ROA9.12%
Debt/Equity6.21
P/B Ratio4.6
Op. Cash Flow$206.3M
Free Cash Flow$200.2M
Industry P/E24.1

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI61.9
Support$24.28
Resistance$27.36
MA 20$25.74
MA 50$22.15
MA 200$22.08
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.46

Valuation

Fair Value$38.27
Target Price$29.73
Upside/Downside13.98%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta0.60
Volatility70.91%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.