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PGNY:NASDAQProgyny, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time

$24.05

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Progyny, Inc. (PGNY) is trading at $24.05, roughly 19% below its DCF‑derived fair value of $37.77, suggesting a material upside potential. The stock benefits from a strong earnings backdrop – Q1 revenue topped $328.5 M, profit margins expanded to 5.2%, and free cash flow exceeds $200 M, while the balance sheet remains robust with $225 M in cash and modest debt of $27 M. Technicals show a bullish MACD crossover (MACD line > signal line) but an elevated RSI at 74 points to short‑term overbought conditions near the $24.39 resistance level. Analyst sentiment is highly positive, with a consensus “strong buy” rating from 11 analysts and a median price target of $30. Key catalysts include ongoing share repurchases (8.8 M shares bought back), a raised 2026 revenue outlook of $1.365‑$1.405 B, and an expanding client base despite the loss of a large customer. While the market exhibits high 30‑day volatility (≈70%) and a neutral trend, the underlying fundamentals—steady revenue growth, solid cash generation, low debt‑to‑equity, and a favorable industry PE relative to peers—support a longer‑run upside thesis.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • RSI in overbought territory (~74)
  • Price approaching short‑term resistance at $24.39
  • Increasing volume supporting potential consolidation

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Undervaluation relative to DCF fair value (+19% upside)
  • Strong earnings momentum and raised 2026 guidance
  • Aggressive share repurchase program enhancing EPS

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Sustainable cash flow and low leverage
  • Expanding addressable market in fertility and women's health
  • Consistently positive analyst consensus and high upside potential

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth1.40%
Profit Margin5.24%
P/E Ratio31.2
ROE14.94%
ROA9.12%
Debt/Equity6.21
P/B Ratio3.9
Op. Cash Flow$206.3M
Free Cash Flow$200.2M
Industry P/E26.9

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI73.9
Support$17.37
Resistance$24.39
MA 20$20.17
MA 50$18.56
MA 200$21.78
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.29

Valuation

Fair Value$37.77
Target Price$28.55
Upside/Downside18.69%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta0.69
Volatility70.00%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.