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PGJ:NASDAQInvesco Golden Dragon China ETF analysis

Data as of Oct 9, 2026 - not real-time

Latest price
$21.58
Risk: medium
7/10Medium risk

Summary

Invesco Golden Dragon China ETF is priced at $21.58 and its moving averages line up in bearish order, the shorter trailing the longer. It has lost 10.2% over the past 30 days. With RSI at 35.8 the momentum picture is approaching oversold, alongside a bullish MACD signal. Recent trading has carved out support near $21.25 and resistance around $22.68.
The 0.70% expense ratio is middling for its category, and the fund manages $84.5M in assets.
Risk scores 7 out of 10, which is elevated for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 15.9%, a beta of 0.98 and a maximum drawdown of 35.3%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. Thin trading volumes mean execution costs can be material on larger orders. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
This one splits by horizon — sell in the near term, hold further out, at 3/10 long-term conviction.

Top market events

  • Morningstar%2c Inc.2monInvesco Golden Dragon China ETFThe investment seeks to track the investment results before fees...

Market outlook

Short term

< 1 year

Cautious

Model confidence5/105 out of 10

Key factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 25.89
  • MACD momentum is positive

Medium term

1–3 years

Cautious

Model confidence4/104 out of 10

Key factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 25.89
  • MACD momentum is positive

Long term

> 3 years

Neutral

Model confidence3/103 out of 10

Key factors

  • Thin trading liquidity raises execution risk
  • Maximum drawdown of 35.3%
  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones

Key metrics

Fund metrics

Expense Ratio0.70%
AUM$84.5M
Inception Date2004-12-09
Avg Daily Volume22,730
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield1.96%

Technical analysis

TrendBearish
RSI35.8
Support$21.25
Resistance$22.68
MA 20$22.03
MA 50$23.39
MA 200$25.89
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.34

Risk assessment

Beta0.98
Volatility15.94%
Sector RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.