PFX:NASDAQPhenixFIN Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-05 - not real-time
$45.49
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
PhenixFIN (PFX) is trading at $45.49, just shy of its $45.5 resistance level and above its 20‑day SMA of 42.27, while the 14‑day RSI sits at 65, hinting at near‑overbought conditions. The MACD remains bullish (line above signal) but volume is on a decreasing trend, and a 30‑day volatility of over 40% underscores a choppy price environment. Despite a forward P/E of 23 × versus an industry average of 17 ×, the stock’s price‑to‑book is only 0.57, suggesting a relatively cheap valuation on a balance‑sheet basis.
Fundamentally, the company faces headwinds: revenue fell 13.6% year‑over‑year, profit margin is negative, and trailing EPS is –$0.55, though forward EPS is projected at $1.97. The balance sheet is strained with $149 M of debt (debt‑to‑equity ~97) and negative operating cash flow, while recent Q2 results showed a modest $1.1 M net income and the CEO’s 20% share purchase adds a modest confidence boost.
Fundamentally, the company faces headwinds: revenue fell 13.6% year‑over‑year, profit margin is negative, and trailing EPS is –$0.55, though forward EPS is projected at $1.97. The balance sheet is strained with $149 M of debt (debt‑to‑equity ~97) and negative operating cash flow, while recent Q2 results showed a modest $1.1 M net income and the CEO’s 20% share purchase adds a modest confidence boost.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD despite decreasing volume
- RSI approaching overbought levels
- Price hovering just below resistance
Medium Term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- High forward P/E relative to industry
- Significant debt load and negative earnings
- Revenue contraction and weak cash flow
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Low price‑to‑book ratio offering potential upside
- Management’s increased equity stake
- Potential for improved NAV and investment income over time
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-13.60%
Profit Margin-4.22%
P/E Ratio23.1
ROE-0.67%
ROA3.16%
Debt/Equity96.95
P/B Ratio0.6
Op. Cash Flow$-9175818
Free Cash Flow$4.3M
Industry P/E17.0
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI65.0
Support$39.00
Resistance$45.50
MA 20$42.27
MA 50$41.12
MA 200$43.82
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.93
Valuation
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.16
Volatility40.22%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.