PCRX:NASDAQPacira BioSciences, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time
$22.62
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Pacira BioSciences delivered a solid top‑line performance in Q1 2026, posting total revenue of $177 million, a 5% YoY increase driven by 7% volume growth of EXPAREL and continued uptake of ZILRETTA and iovera. Forward earnings are projected at $3.64 per share, slashing the forward P/E to roughly 6.2 versus a current trailing P/E of 174, which dwarfs the industry average of 27.2. The DCF‑derived fair value of $34.98 suggests the stock trades at a ~29% discount to intrinsic value, while the market price of $22.62 sits just above the technical support of $22.17. Analyst sentiment remains positive, with a consensus “buy” rating and a median price target of $27.
On the technical front, the 20‑day SMA (24.03) sits above the 50‑day (23.52) and 200‑day (23.71) averages, and the price is currently below all three, indicating short‑term bearish pressure. MACD is in a bearish divergence and RSI at 41 signals neutral momentum, while volatility remains high at 35% over the past 30 days. Despite decreasing volume, the low beta of 0.47 points to limited market‑wide risk, and the company’s cash position ($202 million) comfortably exceeds its debt ($411 million) after accounting for a moderate debt‑to‑equity ratio.
On the technical front, the 20‑day SMA (24.03) sits above the 50‑day (23.52) and 200‑day (23.71) averages, and the price is currently below all three, indicating short‑term bearish pressure. MACD is in a bearish divergence and RSI at 41 signals neutral momentum, while volatility remains high at 35% over the past 30 days. Despite decreasing volume, the low beta of 0.47 points to limited market‑wide risk, and the company’s cash position ($202 million) comfortably exceeds its debt ($411 million) after accounting for a moderate debt‑to‑equity ratio.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price hovering near technical support at $22.17
- Bearish MACD and neutral RSI indicating limited upside
- Recent revenue growth but short‑term volume decline
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Forward P/E of ~6.2 versus industry average suggests strong earnings upside
- DCF fair value indicating ~29% upside potential
- Sustained product demand and 5% revenue growth YoY
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Pipeline expansion with gene‑therapy platform (PCRX‑201)
- Low beta (0.47) and manageable debt profile reducing systemic risk
- Long‑term valuation gap between market price and intrinsic value
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth5.00%
Profit Margin0.70%
P/E Ratio174.0
ROE0.71%
ROA1.35%
Debt/Equity62.88
P/B Ratio1.4
Op. Cash Flow$142.2M
Free Cash Flow$98.6M
Industry P/E27.2
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI41.1
Support$22.17
Resistance$27.13
MA 20$24.03
MA 50$23.52
MA 200$23.71
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.39
Valuation
Fair Value$34.98
Target Price$29.29
Upside/Downside29.47%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta0.47
Volatility35.33%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.