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PCRX:NASDAQPacira BioSciences, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time

$22.99

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Pacira BioSciences (PCRX) trades at $22.99, sitting below its 20‑day SMA of 23.07 and the 50‑day SMA of 23.64, suggesting a modest downside bias. The 14‑day RSI at 47 points to a neutral momentum, while the MACD line has turned bullish with a positive histogram, indicating potential short‑term upside. Volatility is elevated at ~33% over the past 30 days, but the beta of 0.44 signals lower systematic risk than the market. The stock’s trailing PE of 177 dwarfs the industry average of 25, yet the forward PE of 6.3 and a DCF‑derived fair value of $35.80 imply a 29% upside from current levels. Recent Q1 2026 results showed a 5% year‑over‑year revenue increase to $177.4 M, and updated three‑year data on the PCRX‑201 gene‑therapy platform demonstrated sustained efficacy for up to 156 weeks.
Analyst consensus remains a “Buy” with a median price target of $28.5, and a notable endorsement from Renaissance Technologies, which expects a >20% rally. The balance sheet holds $202 M in cash against $411 M of debt, yielding a debt‑to‑equity of ~63%; however, operating cash flow remains positive, supporting ongoing R&D. With a low dividend yield (none) and a modest ROE of 0.7%, the valuation leans toward undervalued relative to its growth prospects. Overall, the combination of technical bullish signals, meaningful pipeline milestones, and a sizable DCF upside supports a positive outlook across horizons.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD histogram and neutral RSI indicating potential upside
  • DCF fair value suggests ~30% upside
  • Q1 revenue growth and positive clinical data for PCRX-201

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Forward PE of 6.3 points to earnings acceleration
  • Renaissance Technologies endorsement and analyst buy consensus
  • Pipeline progress with sustained efficacy data

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term DCF valuation far above current price
  • Low beta reducing market‑wide volatility exposure
  • Strategic focus on non‑opioid therapies in a growing market

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth5.00%
Profit Margin0.70%
P/E Ratio176.8
ROE0.71%
ROA1.35%
Debt/Equity62.88
P/B Ratio1.4
Op. Cash Flow$142.2M
Free Cash Flow$98.6M
Industry P/E24.8

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI47.2
Support$21.92
Resistance$25.17
MA 20$23.07
MA 50$23.64
MA 200$23.58
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Fair Value$35.81
Target Price$29.67
Upside/Downside29.04%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta0.44
Volatility32.87%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.