We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

PCM:NYSEPCM Fund, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-17 - not real-time

$5.59

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

PCM is trading at $5.59, just above the identified support of $5.53 and below the resistance of $5.73, with the 20‑day SMA ($5.64) and 50‑day SMA ($5.72) both sitting above the current price, confirming a short‑term bearish bias. The 14‑day RSI of 39 suggests the stock is edging toward oversold territory, while the MACD histogram remains negative, reinforcing the bearish momentum. Volume is stable, but the 30‑day volatility of 11.85% combined with a beta of 0.28 indicates modest price swings relative to the market. The max drawdown of –18% and an extreme‑greed sentiment index (92.21) highlight both downside risk and a market environment that may be over‑optimistic.
On the income side, PCM offers an attractive dividend yield of 13.79% and trades at a price‑to‑book of 0.94, suggesting a discount to book value. The trailing P/E of 9.98 and a market cap of roughly $69 million provide a modest valuation cushion, while the fund currently shows no discount or premium, indicating pricing stability. These fundamentals support a case for income‑focused investors, but the technical bearishness and concentration risk inherent in closed‑end structures warrant caution.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD and RSI approaching oversold levels
  • Price near technical support with limited upside
  • High dividend yield providing income cushion

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price positioned near support with upside to resistance
  • Attractive dividend yield and sub‑1.0 price‑to‑book ratio
  • Low beta and moderate volatility supporting stability

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Sustainable dividend yield in a low‑beta environment
  • Stable discount/premium profile indicating pricing efficiency
  • Modest market cap and valuation metrics limiting downside

Key Metrics & Analysis

Closed-End Fund Metrics

Market Price5.59
Discount/Premium0.00%
Discount TrendStable

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI39.1
Support$5.53
Resistance$5.73
MA 20$5.64
MA 50$5.72
MA 200$6.07
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index92.21

Risk Assessment

Beta0.28
Volatility11.85%
Sector RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.