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PCM:NYSEPCM Fund, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-26 - not real-time

$5.41

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

PCM Fund Inc. trades at $5.41, with its short-term moving averages sitting below the longer-term ones — a bearish trend structure. Over a rolling month the price has lost 5.1%. With RSI at 33.6 the momentum picture is approaching oversold, alongside a bearish MACD signal. Price has been bracketed by support at $5.29 and resistance at $5.80.
Risk scores 5 out of 10, which is moderate for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 13.3%, a beta of 0.31 and a maximum drawdown of 20.0%, position sizing matters here. Thin trading volumes mean execution costs can be material on larger orders. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is sell while the long-term read is hold, conviction 4 out of 10.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 5.85
  • MACD momentum is negative

Medium Term

1–3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 5.85
  • MACD momentum is negative

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Thin trading liquidity raises execution risk
  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • 30-day volatility of 13.3%

Key Metrics & Analysis

Closed-End Fund Metrics

Market Price5.41
Discount/Premium0.00%
Discount TrendStable

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI33.6
Support$5.29
Resistance$5.80
MA 20$5.59
MA 50$5.62
MA 200$5.85
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index93.84

Risk Assessment

Beta0.31
Volatility13.30%
Sector RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.