PCM:NYSEPCM Fund, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-23 - not real-time
$5.73
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
PCM Fund Inc. is trading at $5.73, just above the identified support of $5.53 and below the resistance of $5.84, indicating limited upside in the near term. The 20‑day SMA (5.72) sits below both the 50‑day (5.84) and 200‑day (6.18) averages, confirming a bearish bias, while the RSI at 46.8 suggests the stock is neither oversold nor overbought. Technical momentum shows a bullish MACD signal (histogram +0.012) despite the overall downtrend, hinting at a possible short‑term bounce. Volume remains stable, and the fund trades without a discount or premium, reflecting a neutral market perception. However, the fund’s beta of 0.25 and 30‑day volatility of 13.6% point to modest price swings, and the max drawdown of –18% underscores a moderate downside risk. The Fear & Greed Index at 86.9 (Extreme Greed) signals heightened market optimism, which could pressure the fund’s price further if sentiment shifts. Overall, the price action, technical indicators, and risk metrics suggest a cautious stance, with limited upside potential unless the bearish trend reverses.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support with limited upside
- Bullish MACD signal amid bearish SMA alignment
- Stable volume and no discount/premium
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Potential reversal if MACD momentum sustains
- Attractive dividend yield (~13.5%) relative to peers
- Low beta indicating reduced market sensitivity
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Consistent dividend income supporting total return
- Moderate volatility and drawdown risk
- Absence of discount suggests fair valuation over time
Key Metrics & Analysis
Closed-End Fund Metrics
Market Price5.73
Discount/Premium0.00%
Discount TrendStable
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI46.8
Support$5.53
Resistance$5.83
MA 20$5.72
MA 50$5.84
MA 200$6.18
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index86.95
Risk Assessment
Beta0.25
Volatility13.55%
Sector RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
Similar Tickers
PCQ
PIMCO California Municipal Income Fund
CLOSED_END_FUNDPCN
Pimco Corporate & Income Strategy Fund
CLOSED_END_FUNDPCF
High Income Securities Fund
CLOSED_END_FUNDPAXS
PIMCO Access Income Fund
CLOSED_END_FUNDPAI
Western Asset Investment Grade Income Fund Inc.
CLOSED_END_FUNDOPP
RiverNorth/DoubleLine Strategic Opportunity Fund, Inc.
CLOSED_END_FUNDThis analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.